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OPINION

Forecasts For Week of Week of December 15

The opinions expressed by columnists are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Townhall.com.
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
ForecastPrior Observation
Week of December 15
December 15
NY Fed Manufacturing Index12.010.1612.0
Industrial Production - November0.7%-0.10.7
Capacity Utilization79.478.979.4
Manufacturing0.2
NAHB Index585859
December 16
Housing Starts - November1.030M1.0091.038
Building Permits1.0401.0921.08
PMI Services Flash Index54.754.755.5
December 17
Consumer Price Index - November-0.1%0.0-0.1
Core CPI0.10.20.1
Energy
Current Account - Q3-$95.0-98.5-96.3
FMOC
December 18
Initial Unemployment Claims295K295295
PMI Services Flash Index56.356.357.3
Philadelphia Fed Survey22.040.825.0
Leading Indicators - Nobember0.4%0.90.6
Week of December 22
December 225.260M5.2605.25
Existing Home Sales - November
Chicago Fed National Activity Index - November0.250.14
December 23
Durable Goods Sales - November1.1%0.31.3
GDP - Q3 (f)4.0%3.94.0
GDP Implicit Price Deflator1.41.41.4
Personal Income - November 0.6%0.20.5
Personal Spending0.50.20.5
PCE Price Index-0.10.1
Core PCE Price Index0.10.2
FHFA Housing Price Index- Oct0.3%0.0
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - December (r)93.093.8
New Home Sales - November 458K458472
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index64Peter Morici is a professor at the University of Maryland Smith School of Business, former Chief Economist at the U.S. International Trade Commission, and five-time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster award.
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