Stanley Greenberg and James Carville claim that the Republican Party has peaked too soon. Incredibly, Greenberg says, "When we look back on this, we're going to say Massachusetts is when 1994 happened." Stan's only claim to expertise in the 1994 elections, of course, is that he's the guy who blew it for the Democrats. Right after that, President Clinton fired both of the flawed consultants and never brought them back again.
Now, their latest pitch is that the high point of the GOP advance was the Scott Brown election and that, from here on, things will "improve slightly" for the Democrats.
Once again, Carville and Greenberg are totally misreading the public mood. Each time the Republican activists battle, they become stronger. Their cyber- and grass-roots grow deeper. The negatives that attach to so-called "moderate" Democratic incumbents increase. And each time Barack Obama, Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi defy public opinion and use their majorities to ram through unpopular legislation, frustration and anger rises.
Were Obama's ambitions to slacken, perhaps a cooling off might eventuate. But soon the socialist financial takeover bill will come on the agenda, followed by amnesty for illegal immigrants, cap and trade, and card-check unionization. Each bill will trigger its own mobilization of public opposition and add to the swelling coalition of opposition to Obama and his radical agenda.
And, all the while, the deficit will increase, interest rates will rise and unemployment will remain high.
Meanwhile, the political process will generate more and more strong Republican challengers. We have yet to see if former Gov. Tommy Thompson of Wisconsin or Dino Rossi of Washington State will emerge to challenge Sens. Feingold and Murray. Better House candidates will decide to capitalize on the momentum and jump into the race, and Republican donors will come out of hiding, their efforts catalyzed by the growing optimism about GOP chances.
Presaging the Republican sweep that looms ahead is the shift in the party ratings on various issues. Rasmussen has the Republicans ahead by 49-37 on the economy and 53-37 on health care. His likely voter poll shows GOP leads on every major issue area: national security (49-37), Iraq (47-39), education (43-30), immigration (47-34), Social Security (48-36) and taxes (52-34).
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