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Thursday, October 30, 2008
Thomas Sowell :: Townhall.com Columnist
A Perfect Storm
by Thomas Sowell
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With unemployment at 10.2%, what will happen by the end of Obama's first term?



Some elections are routine, some are important and some are historic. If Senator John McCain wins this election, it will probably go down in history as routine. But if Senator Barack Obama wins, it is more likely to be historic-- and catastrophic.

Once the election is over, the glittering generalities of rhetoric and style will mean nothing. Everything will depend on performance in facing huge challenges, domestic and foreign.

Performance is where Barack Obama has nothing to show for his political career, either in Illinois or in Washington.

Policies that he proposes under the banner of "change" are almost all policies that have been tried repeatedly in other countries-- and failed repeatedly in other countries.

Politicians telling businesses how to operate? That's been tried in countries around the world, especially during the second half of the 20th century. It has failed so often and so badly that even socialist and communist governments were freeing up their markets by the end of the century.

The economies of China and India began their take-off into high rates of growth when they got rid of precisely the kinds of policies that Obama is advocating for the United States under the magic mantra of "change."

Putting restrictions on international trade in order to save jobs at home? That was tried here with the Hawley-Smoot tariff during the Great Depression.

Unemployment was 9 percent when that tariff was passed to save jobs, but unemployment went up instead of down, and reached 25 percent before the decade was over.

Higher taxes to "spread the well around," as Obama puts it? The idea of redistributing wealth has turned into the reality of redistributing poverty, in countries where wealth has fled and the production of new wealth has been stifled by a lack of incentives.

Economic disasters, however, may pale by comparison with the catastrophe of Iran with nuclear weapons. Glib rhetoric about Iran being "a small country," as Obama called it, will be a bitter irony for Americans who will have to live in the shadow of a nuclear threat that cannot be deterred, as that of the Soviet Union could be, by the threat of a nuclear counter-attack.

Suicidal fanatics cannot be deterred. If they are willing to die and we are not, then we are at their mercy-- and they have no mercy. Moreover, once they get nuclear weapons, that is a situation which cannot be reversed, either in this generation or in generations to come. Continued...

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About The Author
Thomas Sowell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institute and author of The Housing Boom and Bust.
 
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©Creators Syndicate
The storm is here
And me without an umbrella!

**WARNINGS AND PREDICTIONS**
I'm not too surprised about Obama's win; about a year ago, I (mostly accurately) predicted the election winners/losers and the winning percentages. Although I supported McCain at the time I was also somewhat hoping he wouldn't win because I know this country will undergo more turmoil - things that would make the Bush administration look like the Golden Years. I wouldn't wish what's coming up on anyone. All I will say is, take heed America: the stock market crash and economic woes of recent months were just a warning sign of things to come...but, alas, we elected children to rule this nation; the adults are now out to pasture. Now Im thinking: THE NEW DEMOCRATIC LEADERSHIP MAY BE OUR REAL LESSON IN NAIVITY AND INCOMPETENCE. I hope I'm wrong - for the sake of the country. In any event, the pressure and burden will soon be on the Obama administration and the Democratic majority Congress. The Republicans may be off the hook for now; they'll have a chance to regroup and will rise again from the ashes. I also believe history will show that McCain was the best presidential candidate and his fine reputation as a leader will remain intact. History will also show that next year's freshman party will be the real losers. Heaven help us!
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