So, is Biden 2020 a possibility? In New Hampshire earlier this month, the vice president told the 100 Dinner Club in Manchester that he wasn’t running. Last week, in Las Vegas, he seemed to have changed his tune, walking a more waffled line concerning a possible 2020 run. Yes, he says that he might mount a campaign; though he added it all depends on what the family says about the subject. It’s a yes, no, maybe so sort of deal with Biden. For starters, paying off the mortgage seems to be one of the benchmarks set by his wife, Jill, concerning a 2020 run. He also said that Hillary Clinton wasn’t a good candidate. Yet, not wanting to offend anyone, he also said that she would have made a good president (via
The former vice president told attendees at a hedge fund conference in Las Vegas Thursday evening that he hasn't ruled out running against President Donald Trump in the next election, when Biden will be almost 78 years old.
"I may very well do it," Biden said about running for office again, according to CNN.
But first, Biden said he has to focus on putting his family back together as he and his loved ones continue to deal with the May 2015 death of his son Beau.
"Could I? Yes. Would I? Probably not," Biden added about a future White House bid. "At this point, no one in my family or I have made the judgment to run."
Biden told the crowd he made some financial promises to his wife, Jill, that he has to keep, including paying off their mortgage, but if those obligations are met, running for office again is a real possibility.
He also had a lot to say about the country's state of affairs and Hillary Clinton's failed presidential bid.
"I never thought she was a great candidate. I thought I was a great candidate," Biden said, adding that, "Hillary would have been a really good president."
That point about Clinton is true. She was a terrible candidate. She couldn’t beat a one-term, no-name senator from Illinois in the 2008 primaries and she was able to beat Trump. For the formidable machinery within the Clinton political apparatus, at the end of the day, there’s not really much you can do if the candidate sucks. Unlike Bill, who had his I feel your pain moment in 1992 that helped him clinch the election, Hillary decided to toss that in the bin and call the supporters of her opponents deplorable. Even Clinton admits that her campaign wasn’t perfect, which is followed by the FBI and the Russians who screwed me over. Even in defeat, the lady can’t learn.
On the other hand, when 2020 rolls around, Biden would be a formidable candidate. Yes, he’ll be pushing 80, but he resonates with blue-collar workers, he’s likable, he’s somewhat popular, and he’s a Democratic Party heavyweight. While he has his moments where his gaffes get the best of him, overall, he is able to communicate to the white working class that’s the bedrock for the Trump coalition. This good get interesting, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves with this speculation. The next presidential election is a long ways away and Biden is just throwing out hypotheticals. The mortgage bit was a nice touch.
Should Bernie Sanders run again, the dynamics could get very interesting since it’s possible that if Sanders had won the Democratic nomination, he would be president. The self-described democratic socialist resonated with white working class voters as well. You’ve seen the posts naming the top 10-15 Democrats who might run in 2020. Warren isn’t interested, Gillibrand is focused on her Senate re-election campaign, and the rest have zero name recognition. Sanders and Biden would be two good picks, but both men haven’t made up their minds on this question either.
You also have to look at Trump. He may have been kicked in the teeth last week, but a) never underestimate the man when he’s down (or appears to be down), as he thrives in these situations; and b) the Trump coalition might vote for him again just to give the media the finger. Since his inauguration the news media hasn’t given the man much space to breathe, let alone try to frame his administration as a harbinger of the next apocalypse. He’s utterly unpredictable. There is no evidence of Russian collusion, but the Comey memo, once Congress has possession of it, could either dispel or prolong the allegation of obstruction of justice regarding the Russia probe when President Trump fired Mr. Comey as FBI director. Of course, we need these documents for analysis.
As with the 2016 speculation, by default, keep Biden in the “no” column regarding 2020.