Well, just about tied. The president currently leads Gov. Romney by one point:
According to the data, Gov. Romney leads among male voters by 14 points, while President Obama leads among female voters by the same margin. He also leads among black voters by a wide margin (93% to Romney's 7%). Interestingly, Hispanic voters are the most divided. 49% are inclined to vote for President Obama and 42% support Governor Romney.
Overall, it sounds like Governor Romney has his work cut out for him in Florida. As the article notes, that is the swing state that will award the most electoral votes this year. In spite of the overall near tie, voters in Florida don't approve of the job that President Obama is doing, don't seem to think that the country is on the right track, and oppose the health care law by a slim majority. Independents may not be completely sold on Governor Romney yet, but there's no reason that he can't take these numbers and run with them.
The Wisdom of Bastiat, as Revealed by Great Moments in Federal, State, and Local Government | Daniel J. Mitchell