Michael Barone is America’s “one man decision desk,” with credibility on elections far beyond that of anyone else working the field in America today.
Which is why Michael’s bold Washington Examiner column from yesterday cut through all the spin from Chicago and all the blather from MSNBC, and struck President Obama supporters in their gut.
Barone, having surveyed all the polling data from every source and all the early voting numbers from all the states, sees Mitt Romney rolling up 315 Electoral College votes, including the states of Ohio, Virginia, Florida, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, Wisconsin –and Pennsylvania!
Other evidence is rolling in to back up Barone’s prediction, most especially the not-friendly-to-Romney Washington Post tracking poll which put the governor a point ahead of the president on Friday night, a post-Sandy sign of a momentum swing towards Romney.
He who surges last surges best in a presidential campaign, and it appears that Romney has indeed caught the last big wave.
Romney’s amazing “closing argument speech” in Wisconsin yesterday is the sort of performance that flows from a candidate who knows he is winning. The enormous crowds that are greeting Romney and his running mate Paul Ryan wherever they travel tell the same story, and the pictures from this afternoon’s rally at Fiddler’s Green in Colorado promise to send the same message.
If Romney delivers a blowout rally in Pennsylvania Sunday a shocked political establishment will look up from Nate Silver’s “model” and begin to realize that they have missed something big.
The Hill’s A.B. Stoddard speculated on the Fox News Channel Friday afternoon that the aftermath of Sandy has resulted in spreading dismay which is further dampening an already depressed American spirit, thus increasing the desire for a change and what Romney calls “a fresh start.”
Indeed, the suffering and misery from New Jersey and New York do underscore how tough the country has had it for the past four years, just as the new unemployment number did Friday morning.
That 7.9% number is higher than when President Obama took office, a definitive declaration of failure on the economic front, one that reminds us of the president’s “one term proposition,” prediction of years ago.