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Wednesday, April 23, 2008
John Stossel :: Townhall.com Columnist
The Sky's Not Falling
by John Stossel
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With unemployment at 10.2%, what will happen by the end of Obama's first term?



"Mortgage Crisis," shouts the New York Times. The Times has used the term "subprime crisis" at least 11 times. Not in opinion columns -- in news stories.

The columns are worse. Paul Krugman writes: "A lot of the financial system looks like it's going to shrivel up and have to be rebuilt."

The "financial crisis," says Fortune's senior editor, "is threatening to bring down the entire system, with dire consequences."

When the current troubles aren't a "crisis," they're a "disaster". That's what John McCain called them, while Hillary Clinton prefers "crisis," saying, "This market is clearly broken, and, if we don't fix it, it could threaten our entire housing market."

Wait a second.

Where is this "credit crisis"? Did the supermarket reject your Visa card? I still see Ditech commercials offering fixed-rate mortgages at around 5.5 percent.

Sure, some lenders are skittish while things play out. Some investment banks and brokerage houses are sitting on shaky mortgage-backed securities. But why call that a "crisis"?

Do we have 25 percent unemployment, as we did during the Depression? Do we even have 7.5 percent unemployment, 12 percent inflation and 20 percent interest rates, as we did during Jimmy Carter's presidency?

There's a been a loss of jobs in the past two months, but that comes after years of strong job creation -- 25 million net jobs in the last 15 years. At 5.1 percent, unemployment is low by historical standards.

And are we really experiencing a mortgage-default "crisis"? No. The Mortgage Bankers Association's 2007 fourth-quarter survey reports that foreclosures came to 2.04 percent of all mortgages. Many of those were speculators seeking flip profits rather than homeowners losing a dream house. During the quarter, only 0.83 percent of homes entered the foreclosure process. It may get worse -- in March, "foreclosure filings, default notices, auction sale notices and bank repossessions rose 5 percent," Reuters reports (http://tinyurl.com/6bb28q). But let's keep things in perspective: Ninety-eight percent of borrowers are not in foreclosure. Only a small percentage of them are even late in payments.

Politicians love a "crisis." John McCain, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama all think that the government should bail out homeowners who can't pay their mortgages. When they say the government should do this, they mean the taxpayers, including those who are paying their mortgages. They also think the government should regulate the lending and investment industries further. Continued...

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About The Author
John Stossel blogs at http://blogs.abcnews.com/johnstossel/ is an award-winning news correspondent and author of Myths, Lies, and Downright Stupidity: Get Out the Shovel--Why Everything You Know is Wrong.
 
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©Creators Syndicate
Broker Crooks
The statements by hondo are true. Nobody seems to comment on the brokers who wrote these flawed mortgages. And, these greedy slimballs are now sitting in their beachfront condos counting their ill gotten gains. Let's see if I can write on average 2 mortgages per day at a $5,000 commission each I should be able to gross about $2,000,000 per year even with a few weeks vacation and some days off to play golf at the club.

Of course, there were also a lot of greedy, as well as stupid, bankers who bought into the entire scam. But, they and those arrogant hedge fund managers have been left holding the bag.

You have to mis-represent the facts
muirgeo wrote:
It's sad when you have to mis-represent the facts to support your ideology.
The subprime mess is a shining example of un-regulated free-market failure...

~~~~~~~

Now, that is funny.

Section 8 of the U.S. Constitution gives powers to Congress which exclude the possibility of a free market existing within the U.S. Many Federal laws were never been suspended in the sub prime mortgage markets. I believe every state in the union has usury laws and a finance code.

My local county has regulations about construction and zoning which are difficult for any company to evade. My state requires all corporations which operate in the state to register within the state and it also regulates the definition of a corporation within its borders.

Free markets require a government which has no mechanism to regulate markets. To the best of my knowledge, all government levels (local, city, state, federal, etc.) in the U.S. have the power to regulate markets.

It seems to me that muirgeo is changing the definition of "free-market" and of "un-regulated" to support his/her ideology.

Now, that is funny.
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