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The Percentage of Voters Who Believe Biden Would Finish a Second Term Is Just Sad

AP Photo/Evan Vucci

Americans are increasingly buying into the idea that a vote for Joe Biden in 2024 is actually a vote for his successor, likely Vice President Kamala Harris.

According to a new survey from CBS News and YouGov found that just about one-third — 34 percent — of registered voters actually believe Joe Biden would finish out a second term if he's re-elected in 2024, but there was more bad news for Biden in the poll. 

Closer to half — 44 percent of voters — said they believed Biden would leave office before serving out a full second term leaving the country in the dubiously capable hands of VP Harris whose obsession with concentric circles and the significance of the passage of time. 

While better than the outright doubters, it's more bad news for Biden that 22 percent of voters weren't sure whether or not he'll be able to serve out a full second term. 

For comparison, the CBS News/YouGov poll asked the same question of voters about former president-turned 2024 GOP frontrunner Donald Trump who fared significantly better than Biden among registered voters: 55 percent believed Trump would finish a second term compared to just 16 percent who said he'd leave office before serving a full four years while 29 percent were "unsure" whether he'd finish.

Between Trump and Biden, 43 percent of voters said Trump and not Biden is physically healthy enough to be president while just 16 percent said Biden and not Trump is in good enough health to serve another term. 

On the mental fitness front, 44 percent said Trump and not Biden has the adequate cognitive health to be president compared to 26 percent who said Biden and not Trump is mentally fit to serve. Just seven percent of voters said both have the cognitive fitness to be president while nearly one-quarter — 23 percent — said neither are up to the task. 

Apart from the looming 2024 showdown that is currently shaping up to be a rematch of the 2020 election, 37 percent of registered voters assessed things in America as going "very badly," making Biden's chances of convincing Americans that they are better off under his supposed leadership slim. But he might not have to do that in order to win.

According to the poll, the voters who said they plan to vote for Biden in 2024 were more likely to do so in order to oppose Donald Trump, not to support Joe Biden, by a narrow 51 percent to 49 percent split. 

That phenomenon might be why, according to a recent survey from CNN, Nikki Haley was the lone Republican contender shown to be beating Biden by a margin greater than the poll's margin of error. 

The full CBS News/YouGov poll can be viewed here

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