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Tipsheet

Support for Iran Deal Comes Back to Haunt Vulnerable Democratic Incumbent in Key Senate Race

AP Photo/Brynn Anderson

On Tuesday, Iran attacked Israel with ballistic missiles, not long after the White House warned that Iran would be "imminently" launching such an attack. Five weeks from Election Day, a foreign policy crisis looks to potentially affect not only the presidential election, but key Senate races as well. 

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The Biden-Harris administration has been slammed as a failure, especially as Vice President Kamala Harris' diplomatic warnings of "don't" from last year unsurprisingly failed. The administration has also been lifting sanctions on Iran, even and including after Iran's proxies had attacked Israel last year. 

Democrats have been supporting Iran before the current failing administration, however. In 2015, during the Obama-Biden administration, fellow Democrats were all too happy to champion such a deal. This includes Pennsylvania's Sen. Bob Casey, Jr., one of the many vulnerable Democratic incumbents running for reelection this cycle.

Dave McCormick, Casey's Republican opponent, brought up Casey's vote from 2015 to send billions to Iran. "The agreement enhances our national security," the senator claimed multiple times, also speaking of a supposed "deterrent effect" and how such a deal "enhances the security of Israel and the region." Casey even expressed that "the region, including Israel, will be more secure with the agreement as opposed to without it."

In 2018, when asked if he thought the deal should be "scrapped," Casey offered that "I think you could have voted against the Iran agreement originally and still be in favor of keeping it in place."

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The McCormick War Room also posted about Casey's remarks in April, not long after Iran had attacked Israel for the first time in what had been an unprecedented move.

McCormick had also put out another post reminding voters of more ways in which Casey has been "appeasing Iran and its proxies," including actions more recent related to the current Biden-Harris administration. 

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Forecasters give Casey only a slight advantage with a "Lean" or "Tilt Democratic" rating. According to RealClearPolling, Casey leads McCormick by +3.7, while former and potentially future President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris in the Keystone State by +0.1

Pennsylvania is one of the most critical swing states, if not the most critical. It carries the most electoral votes of any of the swing states, at 19. The presidential election, as well as which party controls the Senate, could very well come down to Pennsylvania

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