The final pre-election poll from CBS News bears good news for Republicans. We'll get to the data in a moment; first, let's revisit something we mentioned earlier in the week in reporting the WaPo/ABC News poll, which gave Republicans a sizable lead. Pollster' final generic ballot numbers have bounced all over the place. The NBC/WSJ poll showed the GOP ahead by a whopping 11 points. Then both CNN and Fox News gave Democrats a one-point edge, causing liberals to briefly cease whining about Fox News. WaPo/ABC News measured a six-point Republican lead, and now this from CBS News:
Republicans hit 50 and lead by eight percentage points when so-called 'leaners' are included. In addition to a 13-point enthusiasm advantage over Democrats, the GOP enjoys leads among registered voters on a host of key issues -- meaning that these gaps are larger with likely voters:
CBS News poll: GOP preferred by voters on immigration (+2), economy (+7), foreign policy (+10), terrorism (+20) http://t.co/wMg43qEi45
— Guy Benson (@guypbenson) October 30, 2014The eight-point Congressional ballot margin for Republicans is wider than CBS News' last pre-election survey in 2010, which seems newsworthy, yet CBS News doesn't seem very excited about reporting their own results. As you note this headline juxtaposition, remember that 2006 was a similar midterm environment to this year, just with the roles reversed:
Bias? What bias?
CBS in 2006: Poll: Dems Carry Big Pre-Election Lead
CBS in 2014: What Americans think of Congress and the President
— Josh Jordan (@NumbersMuncher) October 30, 2014Why, it's almost as if the straight-down-the-middle truth seekers at CBS News are feeling a bit mopey over Republicans polling well. Speaking of which a new Quinnipiac poll out of Colorado shows Cory Gardner in the lead by seven points, with incumbent Mark Udall stuck at 39 percent. The survey result
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Dem edge in Iowa early vote: 1.7%. At this point in 2010: 6.5%. http://t.co/0TYbZ27vZ7 pic.twitter.com/V8UDEFbOl4
— Molly Ball (@mollyesque) October 30, 2014Turnout, turnout, turnout.
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