Nov 15, 2019 – Former Attorney General Eric Holder is fresh from taking credit for the new Democratic legislative majorities in Virginia, making it … But polling suggests they are "jug wine" folks, teachers and social workers with grad school degrees entitling them to public-employee … Current polling shows Joe Biden, former President Barack Obama's vice president, leading among blacks.…

Nov 11, 2019 – And exit polling shows that 60 to 70 percent of them do, without fail, election after election. … I live in deep-red Tennessee, almost literally a stone’s throw from the Virginia border. … My town, Bristol, has a half in Tennessee and a half in Virginia.…

Nov 9, 2019 – In Virginia, the Democrats retook everything. … If I could, I would flee to West Virginia or South Carolina. … is to keep the liberal voters of Northern Virginia—and only Northern Virginia—happy at the expense of the rest of us. …

Dec 12, 2019 – the base of the Democratic Party, including with African Americans, and with voters in places such as Pennsylvania, Colorado, Virginia … “And the reason was, because all the polling and data showed that I had those relationships with the base of the Democratic Party as…

Aug 12, 2016 – Wyoming primary voters will head to the ballot box on Tuesday to select party nominees and Cheney is polling well ahead of her rivals … Cheney, having been criticized last election for living in Virginia too long, has “paid her dues” and made more connections within…

Aug 26, 2016 – You will recognize them as the purplest of purple states: Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Nevada. … Current polling, which shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 4 points nationally, suggests it's possible that all 40 steadfast … That explains why he's apparently running far behind in purple states Virginia and Colorado, with their young and high-education populations…

Aug 24, 2016 – One would think so, and polling seems to bear that out, even as the margins are too close for comfort in some polls.   … Meanwhile, latest numbers out of Virginia are also hideous, as are the last two national surveys, which put her in front by eight and … Since I've fed you a steady diet of polling broccoli in this post, I feel obligated to include some strong evidence that even though…

Aug 23, 2016 – He also hits upon what some on the Left in the polling community fear: that people are lying about their support when they’re sampled … On the flip side, regarding the deception with polling, there is an argument for that, though it’s sort of hard to think that this … many people are lying in a state, like Virginia, where Clinton is leading by 16 points.…

Aug 22, 2016 – New CBS News/YouGov polling numbers out of Iowa and Ohio show a dead even and fairly competitive race, respectively: Clinton … For what it's worth, fresh Monmouth polling out of the Buckeye State mirrors YouGov's Ohio figures: New Ohio poll (Monmouth … Election data guru Nate Silver notices that as of right now, national polling has tightened a bit, but that effect hasn't yet trickled…

Aug 19, 2016 – As I listened to the speech, I couldn't help but wonder if Conway sat Trump down for an emergency session on polling and the race's … Trump's ad buy so far: $3.98 millionFlorida — $1.4 milPennsylvania — $985kNorth Carolina — $830kOhio — $745kNothing in Virginia…

Aug 18, 2016 – The RCP average is Hillary +11 in Virginia, and...Hillary +11 in Colorado.   … Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina and Virginia.   … This is mine, based on all of the available polling data and electoral trends.  …

Aug 18, 2016 – For instance, although 'Brexit' outperformed its final polling position by about six points, the final average of nationwide surveys … stretch of the GOP race: For the record, the five states in which Trump outperformed his polling margin are New Hampshire … Trump has hit on the least ridiculous explanation for why the polling might all be wrong.  …

Sep 6, 2016 – very competitive race in which Donald Trump may be able to pull out a win (although its results out of Nevada, Pennsylvania and Virginia … This marks a truly significant development if it's also measured in additional polling moving forward: Trump’s favorability … I'll leave you with CBS News' fresh polling from over the weekend, for what it's worth: New CBS polls:PA:Clinton 45Trump 37NC:…

Sep 5, 2016 – one week ago was recorded just after New Mexico's former chief executive met with the editorial board of a major newspaper in Virginia … Johnson currently enjoys roughly eight percent support in public four-way polling. … A recent IBD/TIPP poll shows him pulling in 12 percent of the national vote, just a few percentage points shy of the polling average…

Sep 16, 2016 – a remarkable thing has happened: Hillary Clinton has blown an early August lead of nearly eight percentage points in four-way polling … The national race is statistically tied, and all of the momentum in battleground polling has swung in Donald Trump's favor -- or at … and Nevada, and has gained considerably in Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Colorado and Virginia.…

Sep 15, 2016 – In July, this polling series had Hillary Clinton ahead by seven points nationwide among registered voters. … is on ballot but not his party. — David Paleologos (@davidpaleologos) September 15, 2016 Clinton +3 (with third parties) in Virginia … https://t.co/vUueZVPtep Drops from +6 among RVs. — (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) September 15, 2016 With even Virginia…

Sep 15, 2016 – Let's face it:  Based on polling averages and trends alone, if the election were held tomorrow, Republicans would hold the House and … Keep in mind that despite clear movement in his direction, Hillary still owns RCP polling average leads in North Carolina and Pennsylvania … (he needs both of those), plus places like Colorado, Virginia, and New Hampshire.  …

Sep 14, 2016 – Remember what I said yesterday about waiting to see how Hillary's horrible weekend might get priced into upcoming polling? … Our colleague Ed Morrissey examines the partisan breakdown of this particular poll and wonders if it's too GOP-heavy: "The polling … For months, Clinton held a definitive, often double-digit lead in Colorado, and polling averages still give her the upper hand.…

Sep 13, 2016 – Those developments won't be fully baked into public polling until the next full round of results. … I'll leave you with the latest survey out of Virginia, where Trump is still sucking wind.   … On the other hand, these numbers are right in line with most of the mainstream polling over the last six weeks: Virginia (PPP…

Sep 9, 2016 – Where Trump may be struggling in certain swing states, he is doing remarkably well in others – notably West Virginia. … What is perplexing is that current polling shows this to not be the case. … However, if Trump can pull a big enough win in West Virginia, he may be able to pull Bill Cole out of the slump.…

Sep 26, 2016 – Keep in mind that these numbers closely reflect new national polling from Bloomberg and Quinnipiac.   … Keep an eye on other national polling to see if this is a verifiable trend.   … One polling bright spot for her is in Virginia.  Trump can win this race. The pressure is on Hillary Clinton tonight.…

Sep 25, 2016 – Moreover, months of polling have demonstrated repeatedly that Trump gains ground against Mrs. … “Overall, including third-party candidates takes about 1 percentage point away from Clinton’s margin, on average,” concluded a polling … As mentioned, the polling indicates Clinton (not Trump) will be helped slightly by pushing third-party candidates out of sight.…

Sep 22, 2016 – Yes, the polling during the RNC Media bump placed Pennsylvania ever so slightly in the Trump column, and FiveThirtyEight advertised … If the polling in Maine remains consistent, then Trump could pick up one more electoral vote, since Maine apportions their electoral … The latest polling shows up him ahead by four points in Colorado. He wins the Colorful state, he gets an off-color win easy.…

Sep 21, 2016 – The basic gist is that despite Trump's unmistakable momentum in national and (most) battleground polling -- which is largely attributable … If you look at polling averages and play with this map for a little while, you'll see that he's mostly correct, even if he doesn't … the five states that FiveThirtyEight.com gives Hillary a 70% or greater chance of winning (Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Virginia…

Sep 20, 2016 – Team Trump is ready for war (via Politico): According to POLITICO’s Battleground States polling average, Trump is now ahead in … and the electoral vote in Maine, he only needs one more state to win — with Colorado, Michigan, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Virginia … And there’s recent polling evidence suggesting he is in striking distance in some of those states. […] Trump is also lagging…