There was one poll in 2012 that consistently reached the correct outcome of the election between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama. According to FiveThirtyEight, the Investor’s Business Daily/TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence poll predicted the correct outcome of that election, exposing Obama's dramatically underestimated performance and the falsehood of Romney's clear victory.
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In the new poll released on Wednesday, Donald Trump is leading Hillary Clinton nationally, taking 41 to 40 percent lead.
This was the most accurate poll of the 2012 election (https://t.co/Fub1J46EgP) and currently shows Trump winning by +1 nationwide. https://t.co/JBsXUbJteb
— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) October 19, 2016
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