A CNN Host's Frustration Was Visible When His Anti-Elon Musk Talking Points Got...
Democrats Are Getting Tired of All the Winning
Ignoring Rogue Judges Is a Constitutional Crisis, Dems Needs Psychotherapy and Trump Is...
Trump Kicking The Associated Press To The Curb Reinforces That America’s ‘New Golden...
The Biden Economic Hangover
It's Only a 'Crisis' When Republicans Try to Restrain Government
Scott Turner's Turn-Around Job at HUD
If You Really Support Immigration, Stop Excusing Chaos
Rubio Has it Right
Birthright Citizenship Excluded Illegals From Day One
The DOGE Bait and Switch
Half-Trans, Half-Free: Blue States Defy Trump
Those Were the Days
Suspending USAID Is the right Thing To Do
Whither the Silicon Shield: China’s Plans for Reunification and Supply Chain Risks
OPINION

Gauging Momentum in House and Senate Races

The opinions expressed by columnists are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Townhall.com.
Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement

With just a few days before Election Day, it has become increasingly clear that the Republicans are poised to take control of the House of Representatives. At the same time, however, the Republicans' chances of taking the Senate look to have faded somewhat as Democrats appear to be extending leads in races in California, Connecticut, and West Virginia. The momentum seems to be different in each chamber.

Advertisement

Part of this is the inherently different nature of House races and Senate races. Senate campaigns are typically trench warfare between well-funded, experienced politicians, who blast away at each other for the better part of a year in an attempt to move the polls. Once the primary concludes and the initial battle lines are drawn, there doesn't tend to be much movement until the end. House races, by contrast, involve lesser-known politicians with fewer funds, and tend not to engage until much later in the cycle.

Along the same lines, we have much better access to information about Senate races. People start polling them in the springtime, allowing us to gauge where they stand. But House races are notoriously underpolled. Everyone suspected that Baron Hill in IN-09 was in some degree of trouble this cycle, but we didn't get our first independent poll of the district confirming this until a week before Election Day.

Join the conversation as a VIP Member

Recommended

Trending on Townhall Videos