If Terry Loses Today, Here's What It Will Tell Us

Today is Election Day in Virginia. Who will occupy the governor's mansion? Democrat Terry McAuliffe or Republican Glenn Youngkin? I've been disappointed by this state for the past few cycles. I've seen a reliably Republican legislature that kept McAuliffe curtailed from radical agenda items be overtaken by Democrats in the blink of an eye. You can't serve consecutive terms in Virginia, which is how Governor Blackface was able to occupy that office. Yet, while I thought Youngkin was going to lose by six-to-eight points, new polling shows he might pull out a win. In fact, it's a scenario that's not insane. Even Cook Political Report's Dave Wasserman says that Mr. Youngkin has an excellent chance to win. If Terry falls, we may need to revisit his 2009 run to read the tea leaves.

Why go back to 2009? Because Terry McAuliffe got pummeled…in the Democratic primary. He was the former DNC chair. He had the endorsements, the name, and the money, but he got whooped by…Creigh Deeds? Who the hell is that? Deeds is a state senator. He's still serving, but Deeds beat McAuliffe and the Clinton machine—handily. It wasn't even close. Again, McAuliffe was considered the frontrunner…until he wasn't. He lost to Deeds 49-26-23; Brian Moran, a former state delegate, ran as well. Now, Deeds would then go on to be slaughtered by Republican Bob McDonnell, but this race makes me wonder if McAuliffe was just the luckiest man alive in the Commonwealth of Virginia.

McAuliffe ran again in 2013, right after Obama's 2012 re-election, against staunch conservative Ken Cuccinelli, who is a great guy—just not the best campaigner. This time, he eked out a win, 47-45, over Cuccinelli, but still had a supermajority Republican House of Delegates to keep him in check. Do you see the pattern here? The man is just not all that popular. He's never broken 50 percent in both his statewide runs, and we might know why now. He's also a terrible candidate.

For Virginia residents, this has probably been known for years, especially for Republicans, but as it is said regarding the American voter—it's not that they forget; it's that they often need reminding. McAuliffe decided to kick the hornet's nest by declaring that parents should have no say in what is taught at the schools attended by their children. What a solid way to alienate suburban voters, Terry. He also said the GOP was taking his words out of context. It's on video, dude. You said it during one of the debates.

Joe Biden is not Barack Obama. The economy is not good. We have inflation rising. Job creation slowing. And overall Democratic chaos on the Hill concerning these mega spending packages Biden needs to be passed. McAuliffe has reportedly called Nancy Pelosi, begging for a vote so he can pivot to something else because those education remarks have impacted his standing in the polls.

Democrats may have greatly underestimated the level of concern and anger regarding public education, the COVID protocols, and Critical Race Theory. Even die-hard liberals don't like it. Second, the student rape fiasco that's engulfed Loudoun County only exacerbates Terry's education woes. We have a school board that appears to have covered up a gender fluid student attacker who has committed not one but two sexual assaults.

WATCH: Terry McAuliffe with a bizarre pitch to Virginia Latinos. He tells them to "get busy" to increase their population.

“10.5% of the population is very significant. Now, let me give you some advice. Get busy, get yourself to 11 relatively quickly.”pic.twitter.com/7PuPwntgtL
— Matt Wolking (@MattWolking) October 28, 2021

McAuliffe also told Hispanic voters to "get busy" to increase their share of the population. He dances awkwardly at rallies. Oh, and he's admonished voters for not voting quickly enough. Yeah, he did that at a campaign stop over the weekend (via WaPo):

At a Virginia Beach restaurant later Saturday, McAuliffe asked, “Who here hasn’t voted?”
Only one woman raised her hand.
“Today,” McAuliffe admonished her.

He's also made the odd move to make this election about Donald Trump. His campaign even tried to get fake white nationalists to appear at a Youngkin campaign stop in one of the worst political stunts in recent memory. First, a black man carrying a tiki torch? I've seen this skit before—and Dave Chappelle was much better at it. Second, everyone featured in the picture by the Youngkin campaign bus was easily identified as a Democratic operative or staffer from past McAuliffe events. Some of these people were pictured with Terry. This hoax fell apart within minutes. The Democrats pulled a fake white supremacist move…really? A winning campaign with good staffers doesn't do this—ever.

Is this the ghost of Mr. Deeds coming back to haunt Terry again? The man who had the Clinton machine behind him couldn't beat a state senator in 2009. Hey, it's like Obama's 2008 run. Maybe those candidate deficiencies were glossed over by the media bias, the Clinton allure, and the Obama moment. Well, the Obama-Clinton era is over. Now, it's Terry alone. No Trump—and with a Democratic president who may have had a diarrhea episode in front of the Pope.

Is Terry able to win statewide without a lot of help and luck? We'll see later tonight, but his past runs show there were other factors that buoyed him, and they're gone now. One way you can tell the liberal media is panicking is their obsession with black voter turnout tomorrow.

Youngkin has an excellent chance to win #VAGOV w/ a coalition very different from the last time a Republican won statewide (2009). That year, Bob McDonnell *won* Fairfax County. Youngkin doesn’t even need to hit 35% there to win tomorrow.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 1, 2021

If Terry Loses Today, Here's What It Will Tell Us

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