The project captures video clips of pundits' predications so they can be measured against actual outcomes. Users who click into campaigncircus.com can track pundits by name in an easy-to-use drop-down menu that as of today included 23 pundits — typically the ones who have been most consistently wrong.
Howard Fineman of Newsweek, who makes predictions on MSNBC, currently leads the punditry pack with his opinions that one-time Republican presidential hopeful and former New York City Mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani was perfectly positioned for a Florida win and that Massachusetts Sen. Edward M. Kennedy would not endorse Democratic candidate Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois.Way wrong, obviously.
"The nature of the 24-hour news cycle requires many political pundits to fill the airwaves with endless chatter about the 2008 race," noted Campaign Circus CEO Jared Young, creator of the project. "The more they predict outcomes, the more they get wrong."
Speaking of the war on terrorism, few publications follow trends in news reporting more closely than the Columbia Journalism Review (CJR), which on this fifth anniversary of the war in Iraq is coming out swinging at the U.S. media for all but abandoning the fight.
Consider this introduction to this week's first in a series of articles by CJR reporter Paul McLeary, who spent a month northwest of Baghdad embedded with the Second Stryker Cavalry Regiment:
"Hundreds of reporters covered the invasion and the heady days immediately afterwards, sending back detailed and layered stories. Later, when Iraq began to turn toxic, that number shrank drastically. It's down to less than 100 now. The war has moved off the front page. And in politics, we speak about it almost in shorthand. We get precious little reporting anymore on exactly what our troops are up against."
CJR's editors say they hope the series "will add context and encourage the kind of reporting needed to inform the political and strategic decisions about Iraq that are still to come."
The GOP Shoppe "Vice Presidential Button Poll" is under way, in which participants purchase 3-inch Republican presidential-campaign buttons bearing the names of Arizona Sen. John McCain and the buyer's favorite vice presidential choice.
Currently, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney leads the pack with 22 percent, followed by Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour with 19 percent, South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford with 15 percent, Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty with 13 percent, and former Maryland Lt. Gov. Michael S. Steele with 7 percent.
And where is former New York Mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani on the popularity list?
Ninth place, with only 3 percent.
John McCaslin is a contributing columnist on Townhall.com and author of Inside The Beltway: Offbeat Stories, Scoops, and Shenanigans from around the Nation's Capital .
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