Amanda Carpenter

This weeks “State of the Race” Feature will only look at “Tsunami Tuesday” polls conducted within the last week and features the poll’s projected winners.
 
ALABAMA
GOP-McCain

SurveyUSA: McCain by 9 points
McCain: 40 percent
Huckabee: 31 percent
Romney 21 percent
Paul: 5 percent 
 
Insider Advantage: McCain by 2 points
McCain: 40 percent
Huckabee: 35 percent
Romney: 14 percent
Paul: 5 percent 
 
Rasmussen: McCain by 8 points
McCain: 38 percent
Huckabee: 35 percent
Romney: 14 percent
Paul: 5 percent 
 
AEA/Capital Survey; McCain y 7 points
McCain: 34 percent
Huckabee: 27 percent
Romney: 15 percent
Paul: 3 percent
 
Democrats-Clinton
 
SurveyUSA: Clinton/Obama TIE
Clinton: 47 percent
Obama: 47 percent 
 
InsiderAdvantage: Clinton by 6 points
Clinton: 46 percent
Obama: 40 percent  
 
Rasmussen: Clinton by 5 points
Clinton: 46 percent
Obama: 41 percent  
 
AEA/Capital Survey: Obama by 5 points
Clinton: 35 percent
Obama: 40 percent
 
ALASKA
No new polls conducted within the last week
 
ARIZONA
Republicans: McCain
 
Rasmussen: McCain by 9 points
McCain: 43 percent
Romney: 34 percent
Huckabee: 9 percent
Paul: 7 percent  
 
Behavior Research Center: McCain by 17 points
McCain: 40 percent
Romney: 34 percent
Huckabee: 9 percent
Paul: 3 percent  
 
Arizona State: McCain by 23 points
McCain: 41 percent
Romney: 18 percent
Huckabee: 7 percent
Paul: 2 percent  
 
Democrats: Clinton
 
Mason-Dixon: Clinton by 2 points
Clinton: 43 percent
Obama: 41 percent  
 
Rasmussen: Clinton by 6 points
Clinton: 45 percent
Obama: 39 percent  
 
Behavior Research Center: Clinton by 10 points
Clinton: 37 percent
Obama: 27 percent 
 
ARKANSAS
No new polls conducted within the last week
 
CALIFORNIA
 
GOP: McCain

 
Reuters/CSPAN/Zogby: Romney by 8 points
Romney: 40 percent
McCain: 32 percent
Huckabee: 12 percent
Paul: 5 percent
Link: http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1445
 
Rasmussen: McCain/Romney TIE
McCain: 38 percent
Romney: 38 percent
Huckabee: 10 percent
Paul: 6 percent
Link: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/california/election_2008_california_republican_presidential_primary
 
Suffolk: McCain by 7 points
McCain: 39 percent
Romney: 32 percent
Huckabee: 8 percent
Paul: 4 percent
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/139-CAStatewideRep-Frequencies.pdf
 
Mason-Dixon: McCain by 9 points
McCain: 40 percent
Romney: 31 percent
Huckabee: 13 percent
Paul: 3 percent
Link: http://www.newsobserver.com/politics/story/920176.html
 
Democrats: Obama
 
Suffolk: Obama by 1 point
Obama: 40 percent
Clinton: 39 percent
Link: http://www.newsobserver.com/politics/story/920176.html
 
Reuters/CSPAN/Zogby: Obama by 6 points
Obama: 46 percent
Clinton: 40 percent
Link: http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1445
 
Rasmussen: Obama by 1 point
Obama: 45 percent
Clinton: 44 percent
Link: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/california/election_2008_california_democratic_presidential_primary
 
Mason-Dixon: Clinton by 9 points
Clinton: 45 percent
Obama: 36 percent
Link: http://www.newsobserver.com/politics/story/920176.html
 
COLORADO
 
GOP: Romney
 
Denver Post: Romney by 19 points
Romney: 43 percent
McCain: 24 percent
Huckabee: 17 percent
Paul: 5 percent
Giuliani: 4 percent
Link: http://www.denverpost.com/news/ci_8089114
 
Democrats: Obama
 
Denver Post: Obama by 2 points
Obama: 34 percent
Clinton: 32 percent
Edwards: 17 percent
Link: http://www.denverpost.com/news/ci_8089114
 
CONNECTICUT
 
GOP: McCain
 
SurveyUSA: McCain by 22 points
McCain: 52 percent
Romney: 30 percent
Huckabee: 7 percent
Paul: 6 percent
Link: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=dfcd0a48-b92c-436c-9da5-6a18be1b8f78
 
Rasmussen: McCain by 16 points
McCain: 52 percent
Romney: 30 percent
Huckabee: 8 percent
Paul: 4 percent
Link: http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/connecticut/connecticut_republican_presidential_primary
 
Democrats: Obama
 
SurveyUSA: Obama by 2 points
Obama: 48 percent
Clinton: 46 percent
Link: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=45e72b0a-e694-4d5d-ba96-c2b76d9239bb
 
Rasmussen: Clinton/Obama TIE
Clinton: 40 percent
Obama: 40 percent
Link: http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/connecticut/election_2008_connecticut_democratic_presidential_primary
 
DELAWARE
No new polls conducted within the last week
 
GEORGIA
 
GOP: McCain
 
Strategic Vision: McCain: 31 percent
Romney: 29 percent
Huckabee: 26 percent
Paul: 5 percent
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/SV_GAFEB08.html
 
Rasmussen: McCain by 2 points
McCain: 31 percent
Romney: 29 percent
Huckabee: 28 percent
Paul: 6 percent
Link: http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/georgia/georgia_republican_presidential_primary
 
InsiderAdvantage: Romney by point
Romney: 30 percent
McCain: 29 percent
Huckabee: 28 percent
Paul: 2 percent
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/sundayGAGOP.html
 
Mason-Dixon: McCain by 6 points
McCain: 33 percent
Romney: 27 percent
Huckabee: 18 percent
Paul: 4 percent
Link: http://www.newsobserver.com/politics/story/920176.html
 
Democrats: Obama
 
Reuters/CSPAN/Zogby: Obama by 17 points
Obama: 48 percent
Clinton: 31 percent
Link: http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1445
 
Strategic Vision: Obama by 22 points
Obama: 49 percent
Clinton: 27 percent
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/SV_GAFEB08.html
 
Rasmussen: Obama by 15 points
Obama: 52 percent
Clinton: 37 percent
Link: http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/georgia/georgia_democratic_presidential_primary
 
InsiderAdvantage: Obama by 15 points
Obama: 51 percent
Clinton: 36 percent
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/sundayGADem.html
 
Mason-Dixon: Obama by 6 percent
Obama: 47 percent
Clinton: 41 percent
Link: http://www.newsobserver.com/politics/story/920176.html
 
ILLINIOS
 
GOP: McCain
 
Chicago Tribune: McCain by 23 points
McCain: 43 percent
Romney: 20 percent
Huckabee: 15 percent
Paul: 4 percent
Link: http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-ilpoll03feb03,0,6281126.story
 
Rasmussen: McCain by 8 points
McCain: 34 percent
Romney: 26 percent
Huckabee: 16 percent
Paul: 10 percent
Link: http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/illinois/illinois_republican_presidential_primary
 
Democrats: Obama
 
Chicago Tribune: Obama by 31 points
Obama: 55 percent
Clinton: 24 percent
Link: http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-ilpoll03feb03,0,6281126.story
 
Rasmussen: Obama by 36 points
Obama: 60 percent
Clinton: 24 percent
Link: http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/illinois/illinois_democratic_presidential_primary
 
MASSACHUSETTS
 
GOP: Romney
 
Suffolk/WHDH: Romney by 13 points
Romney: 50 percent
McCain: 37 percent
Huckabee: 4 percent
Paul: 3 percent
Link: http://www.boston.com/news/politics/politicalintelligence/2008/02/tossup_between.html
 
SurveyUSA: Romney by 23 percent
Romney: 57 percent
McCain: 34 percent
Huckabee: 3 percent
Paul: 3 percent
Link: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=78b59b71-3532-4090-9b8b-0e3893528139
 
Rasmussen: Romney by 32 percent
Romney: 55 percent
McCain: 34 percent
Huckabee: 8 percent
Paul: 4 percent
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ma/massachusetts_republican_primary-538.html
 
Democrats: Clinton
 
Suffolk/WHDH: Obama by 2 points
Obama: 46 percent
Clinton: 44 percent
Link: http://www.boston.com/news/politics/politicalintelligence/2008/02/tossup_between.html
 
SurveyUSA: Clinton by 24 points
Clinton: 57 percent
Obama: 33 percent
Link: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=498e2bb1-15aa-489a-b4d8-26d74886ac96
 
Rasmussen: Clinton by 6 points
Clinton: 43 percent
Obama: 37 percent
Link: http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/massachusetts/election_2008_massachusetts_democratic_primary
 
MINNESOTA
No new polls conducted within the last week
 
MISSOURI
 
GOP: McCain

 
Reuters/CSPAN/Zogby: McCain by 8 points
McCain: 35 percent
Huckabee: 27 percent
Romney: 24 percent
Paul: 5 percent
Link: http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1445
 
Mason-Dixon: McCain by 10 points
McCain: 37 percent
Huckabee: 27 percent
Romney: 24 percent
Paul: 1 percent
Link: http://www.newsobserver.com/politics/story/920176.html
 
Rasmussen: McCain by 3 points
McCain: 32 percent
Huckabee: 29 percent
Romney: 28 percent
Paul: 5 percent
Link: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/missouri/missouri_republican_presidential_primary
 
SurveyUSA: McCain by 4 points
McCain: 34 percent
Romney: 30 percent
Huckabee: 28 percent
Paul: 5 percent
Link: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=81f6ce0b-80f1-4a88-ad56-98860ea30b15
 
Democrats: Clinton
 
Reuters/CSPAN/Zogby: Obama by 5 points
Obama: 47 percent
Clinton: 42 percent
Link: http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1445
 
Mason-Dixon: Clinton by 6 points
Clinton: 47 percent
Obama: 41 percent
Link: http://www.newsobserver.com/politics/story/920176.html
 
SurveyUSA: Clinton by 4 points
Clinton: 48 percent
Obama: 44 percent
Link: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7a86f9ed-29c1-4f66-96c8-f40c6e8f4820
 
NEW JERSEY
 
GOP: McCain
 
SurveyUSA: McCain by 29 points
McCain: 54 per cent
Romney: 25 percent
Huckabee: 7 percent
Paul: 6 percent
Link: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ffdf1c0a-e63b-42e7-bd00-f9a99970cad5
 
Reuters/CSPAN/Zogby: McCain by 26 points
McCain: 52 percent
Romney: 26 percent
Huckabee: 7 percent
Paul: 4 percent
Link: http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1445
 
Strategic Vision: McCain by 30 points
McCain: 55 percent
Romney: 25 percent
Huckabee: 7 percent
Paul: 4 percent
Link: http://strategicvision.biz/political/newjersey_poll_020408.htm
 
Quinnipiac: McCain by 22 points
McCain: 52 percent
Romney: 30 percent
Huckabee: 6 percent
Paul: 6 percent
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/020408NYNJPRESBP.html
 
Monmouth/Gannet: McCain: 32 percent
McCain: 55 percent
Romney: 23 percent
Huckabee: 7 percent
Paul: 3 percent
Link: http://www.newsday.com/news/local/wire/newjersey/ny-bc-nj--presidentialpolit0203feb03,0,3993259.story
 
Mason-Dixon: McCain by 15 points
McCain 46 percent
Romney: 31 percent
Huckabee: 5 percent
Paul: 4 percent
Link: http://www.newsobserver.com/politics/story/920176.html
 
Democrats: Clinton
 
SurveyUSA: Clinton by 11 points
Clinton: 52 percent
Obama: 41 percent
Link: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=f94849f3-0917-433c-89db-ecdd0e875e8c
 
Reuters/CSPAN/Zogby: Clinton/Obama TIE
Clinton: 43 percent
Obama: 43 percent
Link: http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1445
 
Strategic Vision: Clinton by 6 points
Clinton: 47 percent
Obama: 41 percent
Link: http://strategicvision.biz/political/newjersey_poll_020408.htm
 
Quinnipiac: Clinton by 5 points
Clinton: 48 percent
Obama: 43 percent
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/020408NYNJPRESBP.html
 
Monmouth/Gannet: Clinton by 14 points
Clinton: 50 percent
Obama: 36 percent
Link: http://www.newsday.com/news/local/wire/newjersey/ny-bc-nj--presidentialpolit0203feb03,0,3993259.story
 
Mason-Dixon: Clinton by 7 points
Clinton: 46 percent
Obama: 39 percent
Link: http://www.newsobserver.com/politics/story/920176.html
 
NEW YORK
 
GOP: McCain
 
SurveyUSA: McCain by 33 points
McCain: 56 percent
Romney: 23 percent
Huckabee: 8 percent
Paul: 4 percent
Link: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7578f9e8-81ff-431a-a5f6-dc79033c83d6
 
Reuters/CSPAN/Zogby: McCain by 34 points
McCain: 53 percent
Romney: 19 percent
Huckabee: 8 percent
Paul: 5 percent
Link: http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1445
 
Quinnipiac: McCain by 32 points
McCain: 54 percent
Romney: 22 percent
Huckabee: 9 percent
Paul: 5 percent
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/020408NYNJPRESBP.html
 
Rasmussen: McCain by 19 points
McCain: 49 percent
Romney: 30 percent
Huckabee: 8 percent
Paul: 4 percent
Link: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_york/election_2008_new_york_republican_presidential_primary
 
WNBC/Marist: McCain by 37 points
McCain: 61 percent
Romney: 24 percent
Huckabee: 8 percent
Paul: 4 percent
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/Marist_NY080202.pdf
 
Democrats: Clinton
 
Quinnipiac: Clinton by 14 points
Clinton: 53 percent
Obama: 39 percent
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/020408NYNJPRESBP.html
 
SurveyUSA: Clinton by 18 points
Clinton: 56 percent
Obama: 38 percent
Link: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=f902b988-24e8-481c-a72e-77738c04db52
 
Rasmussen: Clinton by 21 points
Clinton: 51 percent
Obama: 20 percent
Link: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_york/election_2008_new_york_democratic_presidential_primary
 
WNBC/Marist: Clinton by 16 points
Clinton: 54 percent
Obama: 38 percent
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/Marist_NY080202.pdf
 
NORTH DAKOTA:
No new polls conducted within the last week
 
OKLAHOMA:
 
GOP:  McCain
 
SurveyUSA: McCain by 5 points
McCain: 37 percent
Huckabee: 32 percent
Romney: 23 percent
Paul: 3 percent
Link: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=511fb808-a90f-4f22-aaae-23bbb2048781
 
Sooner Poll: McCain by 21 points
McCain: 40 percent
Huckabee: 19 percent
Romney: 17 percent
Paul: 3 percent
Link: http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?articleID=20080203_1_A1_BIELW85083
 
Democrats: Clinton
 
SurveyUSA: Clinton by 27 points
Clinton: 54 percent
Obama: 27 percent
Link: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ca06ac4f-7c4c-4e29-bfd6-1a9bd7d2df6b
 
Sooner Poll: Clinton by 24 points
Clinton: 41 percent
Obama: 17 percent
Link: http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?articleID=20080203_1_A1_BIELW85083


TENNESEEE:
 
GOP: McCain
 
InsiderAdvantage: McCain by 2 points
McCain: 32 percent
Huckabee: 30 percent
Romney: 22 percent
Paul: 6 percent
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/sundayTNGOP.html
 
Rasmussen: McCain by 3 points
McCain: 32 percent
Romney: 29 percent
Huckabee: 23 percent
Paul: 8 percent
Link: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/tennessee/election_2008_tennessee_gop_presidential_primary
 
WSMV-TV: Huckabee by 1 point
Huckabee: 24 percent
McCain: 23 percent
Romney: 18 percent
Paul: 4 percent
Link: http://www.wsmv.com/download/2008/0131/15189367.pdf
 
Democrats: Clinton
 
InsiderAdvantage: Clinton by 20 points
Clinton: 55 percent
Obama: 35 percent
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/sundayTNDem.html
 
Rasmussen: Clinton by 14 points
Clinton: 49 percent
Obama: 35 percent
Link: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/tennessee/election_2008_tennessee_democratic_presidential_primary
 
WSMV-TV: Clinton by 5 points
Clinton: 36 percent
Obama: 31 percent
Link: http://www.wsmv.com/download/2008/0131/15189367.pdf
 
UTAH:
No new polls conducted within the last week
 
WEST VIRGINIA:
No new poll conducted within the last week
 


Amanda Carpenter

Amanda Carpenter is the author of “The Vast Right-Wing Conspiracy's Dossier on Hillary Clinton,” published in October 2006.
 
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