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Saturday, June 21, 2008
Wayne Winegarden :: Townhall.com Columnist
"Cap and Trade" Fallacies
by Wayne Winegarden
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Was the Copenhagen Global Warming Summit Walk-Out a Win for the U.S.?


Once again, the facts tell a different story.  The ethanol disaster is not unique: history is replete with failed technology predictions.  Hobbling the private sector by transferring a substantial amount of resources to the public sector will not foster technological innovation.  Instead, it empowers the government to choose which prospective alternative energy technologies should be supported.  We are then betting our energy future on the wisdom and knowledge of the energy scientists on Capitol Hill. 

Global warming should not be used as an excuse to increase the size of government.  The most assured means to obtain effective alternative energy technologies is to allow the private sector to continually experiment (and often fail) with different ideas. 

Fallacy #4: Cap and Trade Regulation will generate economic growth:  The final fallacy is, perhaps, attracting the most attention.  Proponents claim, due to fallacies 1 – 3, that cap and trade will instantaneously create thousands of new green jobs.  Our economy will flourish as we invent ourselves out of the current energy dilemma.  The belief that we can impose a mandate on our economy to use less energy and, somehow, that economic growth will accelerate as a result is a fantasy, pure and simple. 

Capitalism is a process of creative destruction – Henry Ford put some small automobile manufacturers out of business while he was revolutionizing the automobile industry and creating millions of new jobs on net.  Unlike Henry Ford, cap and trade does not create anything.  The incentives to create the alternative technologies already exist – as do investors who will willingly risk their money if they believe the project is viable.  What cap and trade adds is a prohibition to use our current energy resources while these new technologies are being tested.  Such a restriction is not growth enhancing.

As debunking the fallacies indicate, cap and trade regulation is bad public policy.  For those interested in addressing global warming fears, there are more efficient means to do so that will also safeguard the economy.  As for cap and trade, let’s hope it meets the same fate next year when it returns once again.

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About The Author

Wayne H. Winegarden Ph.D. is a partner in the firm Arduin, Laffer & Moore Econometrics.

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Check out "Not Evil Just Wrong"--it's fallacy free, un-intimidated truth about global warming.

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Separating environmentalism from us
I am wondering if there is an enterprising lawyer out there who is prepared to sue to overturn any cap and trade legislation that gets passed using legal precedents for the separation of church and state. This is not an economic issue. This is a religious one.

Environmentalism is a religion. A religion is a set of beliefs derived from faith. Faith is a method of knowledge other than reason.

Environmentalists hold the earth and its non-human contents as the supreme value, a position for which there is no rational argument, and they offer none. Their method of knowledge is faith: They reject all the foundational concepts of scientific reasoning. They reject Occam's razor, they reject the principle of refutability, they reject principles of logic such as onus of proof. They reject the scientific method - including defining the problem (to whom is rising temps a problem? Why? How? What is acceptable? Why?), making logical predictions (predictions vary by several degrees over decades), having successful predictions to substantiate their "hypothesis" (enough said), and even valid testing (copy-cat computer models; little to no physical experimentation).

They have, by any rational standard, an unsubstantiated, arbitrary belief. Using an unsubstantiated, arbitrary belief as a basis for action is an act of faith.

They are trying to impose this item of faith onto the rest of us in violation of the principle of the separation of church and state. I do not know what legal precedents forbid this, but they are out there. It is a question of the will to fight this crap. The fact that dropping temperatures have not stopped them in their quest to end industrialization shows that they are zealots immune to reason and will have to be stopped by legal force.
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