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Tuesday, October 21, 2008
Thomas Sowell :: Townhall.com Columnist
Polls and Pols
by Thomas Sowell
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Do you feel the leaked information from a global warming alarmist organization is meaningful?



It may seem hardly worthwhile going to the polls to vote this election year, since ACORN and the media have already decided that Barack Obama is to be the next President of the United States.

Still, it may take more than voter fraud and media spin to put Senator Obama in the White House. Most public opinion polls show Obama ahead, but not usually by decisive margins, and sometimes by a difference within the margin of error.

There has been a history of various polls over the years projecting bigger votes for the Democrats' presidential candidate in October than that candidate actually gets in November.

Some of these polls seem like they are not trying to report facts but to create an impression. One poll has been reported as using a sample consisting of 280 Republicans and 420 Democrats. No wonder Obama leads in a poll like that.

Pollsters have to protect their reputations but they can do that by playing it straight on their last poll before election day, after having created an impression earlier that a landslide for the Democratic candidate was all but a done deal.

The general media bias is more blatant than usual this year.

There was more media outcry about Sarah Palin's response to "gotcha" questions than to Joe Biden's talking about President Franklin D. Roosevelt going on television in 1929 after the stock market crash-- at a time when FDR was not yet president and there was no television to go on.

An editor at Time magazine has admitted that there has been bias but expressed a desire in the future to be more fair to both sides. Just the fact that he expresses the issue this way shows that he still doesn't understand the real problem.

The point is not to be "fair" to "both sides." The point is to be straight with the readers, who are buying the magazine to learn something about the facts of the real world, not to learn about its reporters' ideology and spin.

There is another factor at work in this year's election that makes polls and predictions more unreliable than usual. That factor is race.

Barack Obama's string of victories in early Democratic primaries against far better known white candidates shows that large segments of the American population have moved beyond race.

It is Barack Obama and his supporters who have hyped race, after his large lead in the polls began to shrink or evaporate, as more of the facts about his checkered career came out.

Almost any criticism of Obama has been equated with racism, even if there is no connection that can be seen under a microscope. Continued...

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About The Author
Thomas Sowell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institute and author of The Housing Boom and Bust.
 
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Obama is a socialist
and the people who vote for him are basically wanna be theives.

Nothing about obamalama ding dong is worthy of being the local dog catcher much less POTUS.

The polls have been manipulate by trolls, the media, ACORN, etc. I don't belive them and neither should any one on either side of the issue.


RAY OF LIGHT FOR MAC SUPPORTERS
REMEMBER NEW HAMPSHIRE AND PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES...EVERY POLL HAD OBAMA UP AND PREDICTED HIM TO HAVE AN EASY WIN - EVEN BY SEVERAL POINTS, BUT HE LOST TO HILLARY. OBAMA HAS HISTORICALLY SCORED HIGHER IN POLLS THAN THE ACTUAL ELECTION RESULTS. LESSON FOR REPUBLICANS AND McCAIN SUPPORTERS: DON'T LOSE HOPE AND KEEP SPREADING THE McCAIN MESSAGE (THE LIBERAL MEDIA CERTAINLY WON'T DO IT FOR YOU)!!
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