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Trump's Poll Numbers Are Even Going Up With This Shocking Demographic

AP Photo/Evan Vucci

As Townhall and even now the mainstream media have been covering, President Donald Trump's poll numbers are going up for his second term. This comes after Democrats and the media were all too happy to harp on how he had room for improvement earlier in the term, especially as he approached the first 100 days. No matter how Trump's poll numbers may be, at least they're not as bad as the Democrats' numbers. A new poll, conducted late last month, reveals even more bad news for Democrats though, in another way. 

According to a Quantus Insights poll, as highlighted by Newsweek, Trump's approval rating among Democratic voters is up 4 percentage points from April's poll, from 7 percent to 11 percent. His disapproval rating also dropped to 87 percent from 91 percent. Meanwhile, his approval rating among fellow Republicans remains high, at 92 percent. 

While Trump does not have a net approval rating among black voters, Newsweek also referenced how his numbers with such a demographic have also improved, from 22 percent in the previous poll to 27 percent. While 66 percent previously disapproved of the president, 64 percent of black voters now say that they do. 

Trump enjoys a positive approval rating among male voters (54-42 percent), white voters (53-44 percent), those 30-44 (48-46 percent), those 45-64 (51-46 percent), and non-college voters (52-44 percent). 

The poll's release, from May 22, focused on improvement for Trump in its headline, "No Mandate, But Momentum." The president certainly is seeing that "momentum." As for Trump's overall approval rating, he's at about even, with a 48.3 percent-47.8 percent approval/disapproval number. 

A post to X from the pollster also highlights Trump's approval rating on the economy, where he has room to grow, given that his approval/disapproval is at 45.3-49.6 percent. RealClearPolling (RCP) however, which includes this Quantus Insights poll in their aggregate, has shown Trump improving on this key issue of the economy, though. 

With such a poll included in the RCP average for Trump's overall approval ratings, the president is at a 47.5 percent approval rating while 50.4 percent disapprove. 

In other good news for the president from this poll, a majority of respondents, at 59 percent, believe that the mass deportation of illegal immigrants is good for the country. Even when Trump wasn't doing as well in the polls, around the time of his first 100 days, he was at least doing well on this key issue.

The same amount, at 59 percent, also say they support his diplomacy in the Middle East and negotiations with Iran, a mess Trump certainly inherited. 

Trump even looks to fare much better in a 2020 election against former President Joe Biden, who a majority or voters also believe there was a cover-up involved when it comes to his failing health. 

And, as the poll's release mentioned, these numbers, while not spelling out a mandate for Trump, could have telling effects for the 2026 midterms:

With his first 100 days in office behind him, President Trump stands with a nation split nearly right down the middle. The latest Quantus poll, fielded May 18–20 among 1,000 registered voters, reveals a presidency marked by deep polarization, but also by durability. On job approval, Trump earns 48.3% support, with 47.8% disapproving. These aren’t soaring numbers but they are solid, especially for a man presiding over a country still reeling from a tumultuous decade.

Trump's strength lies where it always has: with Republicans, white working-class voters, and the politically disaffected. His approval among Republicans holds steady at 92%, with just 6% opposing him. Among Independents, the picture is more complex: Trump captures 40% approval but faces a 51% disapproval rate—suggesting that while he maintains a foothold, the center remains fluid and far from secure.

...

Finally, in a question about the past, Trump may be winning the long game. When asked who they would vote for if the 2020 election were held again today, 52% said Trump, and only 45% said Biden. Trump not only holds his coalition—he’s picking off Independents, swing voters, and possibly some who once backed Biden and now feel betrayed or misled.

This is the landscape as it stands: not a mandate, but a warning. The country is split but Trump’s side is energized while the rest of the country lags in confidence. If Democrats thought 2024 was the reckoning, they may want to brace for 2026. Because the fight isn’t over. It may just be beginning.

This poll was ocnducted May 18-20 with 1,000 registered voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

The party of the president in power tends to lose seats during the midterm, though as we saw in 2022, there wasn't so much of a red wave that was expected. That being said, Democrats could have a lot to worry about in 2026, and not just because of that closing paragraph mentioned above. Multiple polls from the start of the Trump administration, which keep coming out, show the Democratic Party at record lows. They're also faring poorly on key issues such as handling the economy. 

As we covered at the time, a National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) internal poll from April shows House Republicans in a better position at such a point for the 2026 midterms than they were at such a point in 2017 for the 2018 midterms. 

Newsweek wasn't the only one to do a write-up on polls about Trump's improvements. Last week, The Hill published an opinion piece by pollsters Douglas E. Schoen and Carly Cooperman, "Trump’s approval ratings, down in April, bounced back in May." A piece from Saturday also highlighted how "Trump’s approval rating rebounds in DDHQ/The Hill polling average." We highlighted such Decision Desk HQ findings of improvement last month, and have also noted how Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer's (D-NY) numbers, which are just awful, are now included in the DDHQ average. 

According to the DDHQ numbers, Trump is at a 46.3 percent overall approval rating, while 49.9 percent disapprove. The Quantus Insights poll was included. 

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