We still have some time before Election Day 2020, but let’s get crazy here for a second. For the news and politics junkies, you know you’ve been doing rough Electoral College math over there at 270towin.com. and even the pollsters have been gaming out ‘what ifs’ in their little projection models. MSNBC’s Steve Kornacki thought of a 269-269 split, which could make 2020 the third election in which no candidate received a majority of the electoral votes. And if you really want to infuriate the Left, just remind them that Trump will probably still win the election.
The Constitution says that the House of Representatives decides who wins if no candidate gets a majority of the Electoral College votes. As Kornacki noted, even though House Democrats have the majority, the voting goes by state delegations, not members—and there are more GOP-controlled delegations, meaning Trump would still win in this crazy scenario. Talk about sending liberal America into full meltdown mode:
If the Dems flip MI and PA and trump holds WI, it would be 270-268 Trump with no other changes. Next best Dem flip possibility would probably be AZ. Or...the single electoral vote from the Omaha district in NE that Trump barely won in '16. Flip that and not AZ and it's 269-269.— Steve Kornacki (@SteveKornacki) February 20, 2020
And a 269-269 tie would go to the newly-elected House of representatives. But in the House each *state* gets a vote, not each member. And as of now, Republicans control more state delegations, even though Democrats have the House majority.— Steve Kornacki (@SteveKornacki) February 20, 2020
Seeing this a lot about ME-2. Keep in mind, Trump won ME-2 by 10 points. It is rural and loaded with non-college whites, a great demographic formula for Trump.— Steve Kornacki (@SteveKornacki) February 20, 2020
NE-2 is Omaha and suburbs and Trump only won it by 3 in 2016. https://t.co/MfDv8SKAds
What must happen in this situation is that Ds pick up a couple of state delegations or flip them to ties and neither party has a majority. Likewise, Ds pick up exactly three Senate seats so neither party has a majority in the Senate. Chaos ensues.— Sean T at RCP (@SeanTrende) February 20, 2020
Yet, even if Trump wins an outright majority, which I think he will, there will still be a meltdown because Trump won. It’s early, but it’s fun to mess around with such a scenario, which maybe isn’t too crazy. Frankly, I don’t see Pennsylvania slipping away from Trump, especially if Bernie Sanders is the 2020 nominee. His stance on fracking even has Keystone Democrats, who are working to slow down it down, nervous. They know hundreds of thousands of jobs are tied to natural gas. A universal ban would do two things: make Western PA Democrats stay home or vote for Trump. And even top union leaders in the state have made that position known if either Mr. Sanders or Elizabeth Warren become the Democratic nominee. The utter disregard for the working people in the Rust Belt by the far left is truly astonishing, the nonchalant attitude that their agenda will toss millions of American families into economic destitution because they disapprove of their job. That’s the bottom line: if you work in an industry the Left considers immoral, losing that job is punishment for the non-college educated bumpkin. Remember, the Left hates these people. They hate us. It’s not impolite to respond in kind. It’s required that we hate the Left twice as much as they hate us. This is an election year. When you see a liberal drowning, throw him an anvil, not a life jacket.