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Tipsheet

FL SEN: Gun Control Push Not Helping Democrat Bill Nelson, Trails Gov. Rick Scott In New Poll

Well, Florida Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson was expecting an epic battle to keep his seat last year and new polling shows that it’s shaping up to be that way, regardless of his shameless politicization of the recent school shooting in Parkland, Florida. Despite him hammering Republican Gov. Rick Scott for not attending CNN’s kangaroo court that indicted every law-abiding gun owner, NRA member, and Second Amendment supporter as murderers for merely supporting the Bill of Rights, it hasn’t yielded any political dividends. A new poll showed Scott with a two-point lead over Nelson (via Tampa Bay Times):

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Emerging from his final legislative session, Republican Gov. Rick Scott holds a small lead over incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson in a potential U.S. Senate race that could help determine control of the Senate, according to a poll released Monday.

The poll of likely voters, conducted this month by the Tallahassee-based firm Clearview Research, shows Scott receiving 43.3 percent of the support, while Nelson gets 41.3 percent. The difference is within the poll's margin of error of 3.58 percentage points.

Scott has not announced that he is running for the Senate but is widely expected to do so — and no other prominent Republicans are running against Nelson. After the annual legislative session ended Sunday afternoon, Scott indicated a decision on entering the high-profile race could be weeks away.

That CNN town hall was one of the biggest political shows of the year, exemplifying the gun control debate in this country and revealing what we all knew about anti-gun liberals’ beliefs and antics. It was a total clown show. Yet, Nelson actually had a shot to gain some ground, but instead decided to politicize the event and turn it into a campaign event. He was criticized for doing so. On top of that, Nelson suffers from poor name recognition, despite being an incumbent U.S. Senator. This piece of data was released in October of 2017 (via Pensacola News Journal):

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Despite 17 years in Senate, Nelson not that well known

Who the heck is Bill Nelson?

A new poll suggests that about half of Florida’s voters – 49% – don’t know enough about the man who has been their U.S. senator for 17 years to form an opinion about the job he’s doing.

“I saw this number and I was flabbergasted,” said Michael Binder, faculty director of the Public Opinion Research Lab at the University of North Florida…

So, band name recognition, botching the CNN town hall event, and now he’s dealing with new polling showing that almost half of Floridian voters think the economy has improved from last year. A large part of that is due to the Trump tax bill, which the Democrats universally opposed. Moreover, a majority of Florida voters approve of that GOP tax reform package that was signed into law in December of 201; a law that’s incentivized companies to re-invest back into America. Over 250 companies have given bonuses to their employees. Over three million workers have benefitted from the Trump tax package. The overwhelming majority of those who benefit are the middle and working classes—and Democrats decided to screw them over in order to win the 2018 elections. Also, Nelson has shown his hand on gun control, namely saying that the issue will help his party on the ballot. He also appears to be taking advantage of this community’s grief to list-build, which will undoubtedly help his campaign.  

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Politico reported last year that the ad campaign in Florida could cost $3 million to run a weeklong media blitz in the Sunshine State. With low name-ID and a rather soporific-style of retail politics, Nelson isn’t a person who seems like he can make people open those checkbooks. In that piece, Nelson only had $5 million in the bank. It’s increased since then, but his cash on hand is still below $10 million.  

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