If CNN on-air personalities were openly disbelieving their own polling on impeachment, which made their 'heads hurt,' they're likely to have a few sads over their in-house pollster's latest findings. Immediately on the heels of a presidential impeachment, the latest CNN survey shows Donald Trump tied with Joe Biden and leading all other major Democrats in the 15 crucial battleground states that will determine the 2020 victor:
Among voters in 15 battleground states:
— Alli Hedges Maser (@AllisonLHedges) December 20, 2019
Dem. Trump
Biden 47% 47%
Warren 46% 48%
Sanders 45% 49%
Buttigieg 43% 48%
Margin of error: +/-6.6% pts
You can see that all of the numbers -- national and swing states -- are within the margin of error ballpark. But I think it's tough to look at these results and conclude anything other than this reality: As things stand, despite the adversity he's facing, Trump will not be easy to defeat next year. In fact, as the incumbent, I think it's fair to call him the favorite. Particularly because these results approximately mirror those in the USA Today/Suffolk poll we analyzed earlier in the week, and especially if this sentiment remains intact by next fall:
New CNN poll out this morning conducted by SSRS shows public confidence in economy and competitive presidential race
— Jake Tapper (@jaketapper) December 20, 2019
Current Economic Conditions
Are Good
Now 76%
Dec ‘18 67%
Sampling error: +/-3.7% pts
And according to the same data set, by a 43-point margin, people expect the economy to be in good shape one year from now. Contrast that eye-popping data point with Democrats' economic doom and gloom messaging at last night's debate. It's not resonating because it's not what people are experiencing and feeling. In fact, economic optimism has is at its highest point in nearly two decades:
A new CNN poll shows that the US economy has earned its highest ratings in almost two decades, potentially boosting President Trump in matchups against the 2020 Democratic candidates. @ForecasterEnten takes a look at the numbers.https://t.co/Vgv4WiqBs3 pic.twitter.com/qDH6fiW2lb
— New Day (@NewDay) December 20, 2019
I had the Trump administration's Secretary of Labor, Eugene Scalia, on my radio show yesterday, and he touted a number of economic accomplishments achieved over the last few years, warning about the potential consequences of turning over the keys to a booming economy to an anti-growth leftist. I'll leave you with a whole lot of plusses:
Something to think about as Democrats talk about the state of the economy @nytimes pic.twitter.com/O1RakJ2g8v
— James Pethokoukis (@JimPethokoukis) December 20, 2019
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