A few caveats are in order. First, the poll sample is relatively low at 300 respondents. Second, the write-up describes those sampled simple as "people." Were these adults? Registered voters? Likely voters? That would be useful information. Third, the margin of error is fairly high--5.6 percent. Fourth--and totally unscientifically--my gut has trouble believing these results. John Dingell is losing?
Really?Still, this is an
oh-my-goodness moment. Dingell was elected in 1954 and is currently the longest-serving member of Congress. He is an institution who occupies what is the veritable definition of a safe Democratic seat: A suburban Detroit district in a blue state that encompasses parts of
Ann Arbor (!) and Dearborn (!!). In 2008, Dingell won re-election with
71 percent of the vote. If John Dingell is vulnerable in 2010 (and the survey shows he's languishing
below 40 percent), the coming Red
Wave Tsunami could be much, much larger than almost anyone is predicting.
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