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Tipsheet

Ernst up 4 in Latest Iowa Senate Poll

Republican candidate Joni Ernst has taken a 4-point lead over Rep. Bruce Braley (D-IA) in the race for Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat.

The latest Quinnipiac University poll shows Ernst up 49 percent to 45 percent, a 2-point improvement over Quinnipiac's last poll which only had Ernst up by 2, 48 percent to 46 percent. 

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"Nothing is for sure, but one would certainly rather be in her shoes this morning than Braley's,"  Quinnipiac Poll  assistant director Peter Brown said. "Ernst's lead is built upon a 9-point lead among independent voters and a larger lead among men than Braley is able to muster among women," Brown continued. "And, in what was a strongly negative campaign, she emerged from the mud-slinging with voters liking her a bit more, usually an advantage that tends to translate into votes." 

Iowa voters do seem to like Ernst personally more. A full 45 percent of Iowa voters have a favorable opinion of Ernst, while just 43 percent have an unfavorable opinion of her. Braley, meanwhile is disliked by more Iowans (43 percent) than like him (40 percent).


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