Here's Who FiveThirtyEight Thinks Will Win in November

Posted: Jun 29, 2016 4:00 PM

Political statistics blog FiveThirtyEight has released its forecast for the 2016 election, and it's not looking good for Donald Trump. According to the forecast, Trump only has a 19.3 percent chance of beating Hillary Clinton. Trump is currently predicted to win only 22 states and would receive 183 electoral votes.

FiveThirtyEight's analysis has been spot-on for the past two presidential election cycles, but this cycle has defied all predictions. Notably, blog Editor-in-Chief Nate Silver failed to predict that Trump would secure the Republican nomination.

Stay tuned...but if this analysis holds, it's not going to be good for the GOP come November.