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Tipsheet

Donald Trump Does Well in First National Poll of 2016

The first national poll of 2016 has Donald Trump leading at 35 percent, with Sens. Ted Cruz (R-TX) and Marco Rubio (R-FL) trailing at 18 and 13 percent, respectively. The poll was conducted by SurveyMonkey and NBC News, and surveyed 3,700 adults over a one-week period from December 28, 2015 through January 3, 2016.

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Trump leads among men with 39% of support, compared to 21% of men who support Cruz and 13% of men who support Rubio. Trump also leads among women with 29% support, while Cruz and Rubio have about equal support from women—13% and 14%, respectively.

Trump supporters were far surer of their decision than Cruz or Rubio fans. A full 51 percent of Trump supporters said that they were “absolutely certain” of their vote, compared to 36 percent of Cruz supporters and 26 percent of Rubio’s.

While national polls are largely useless during the primary, Trump is also polling well in both New Hampshire and South Carolina.

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