Jay notes the unusually large variations in the assorted presidential polls, and notes that it's attributable to the different samples the pollsters are using.
The upshot is this: Obama is ahead, but no one -- no one -- really knows by how much. Ultimately, the only way to guarantee that it's by a lot is for Republicans to give up and give in. And wouldn't that be a shame, if it turned out that the margin is much, much smaller than most pollsters are forecasting?
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