Stop. Just stop. I know polls are a gauge on the electorate. It directs the allocation of resources from political operations. It tests if campaign narratives are resonating, but enough with the 2020 speculations—even if they have President Trump beating the insufferable Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) (via The Hill):
President Trump would beat Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) in a hypothetical 2020 election, though he would lose in a race against an unnamed Democrat, according to a Politico/Morning Consult poll released Wednesday.
When asked to choose between Trump or Warren, 42 percent said they would vote for Trump, while 36 percent chose Warren. Twenty-two percent said they did not know or did not have an opinion.
When asked if they would vote for Trump or the unnamed Democrat, 35 percent said they would probably vote for Trump, while 43 percent said they would probably pick the Democrat. Twenty-three percent said they did not know or have an opinion.
The poll was conducted on Feb. 9 and 10, surveying 1,791 registered voters. It has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.
We’re less than 40 days into Trump’s presidency. This is the very definition of premature. I know some folks are upset Trump won and Clinton lost. And you’re just wishing we could flash-forward to 2020. You can’t.
Granted, now that this poll is out there, it’s quite interesting that not even Warren, who is trying to become the new leader of the Democratic Party, loses to a man whom the Left universally hates. It puts more stock in the poll about Warren’s re-election chances, which are quite weak for a deep blue state; 44 percent of Massachusetts voters want her re-elected, 46 percent want someone else to have a shot. Yikes.
Yet, that’s three years away. Anything can happen. Trump could rise above the current hiccup with Michael Flynn, get something done on infrastructure, come up with something unique on health care, deliver on trade promises, usher in months of job creation, and possibly get movement on tax reform. Maybe he has a childcare program that’s well liked, or everything could come crashing down. The point is 2020 is way off. Pollsters, liberals, Clintonites—stop trying to make this a thing. It’s not. Three years is more like three million in politics. Plenty of time to succeed or fail—and we should all hope that Trump does succeed. At the same time, it’s refreshing to see the Democrats’ liberal stalwart—Warren—crash and burn even with this outrageously early poll about the next presidential election.
Oh, and concerning Millennials, they broke for Trump over Warren 39/37.