Team Trump is ready for war (via Politico):
According to POLITICO’s Battleground States polling average, Trump is now ahead in … and the electoral vote in Maine, he only needs one more state to win — with Colorado, Michigan, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Virginia … And there’s recent polling evidence suggesting he is in striking distance in some of those states.
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Trump is also lagging…
This spot is airing in "Ohio, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Virginia, as well as national cable," according to Politico. … Plus, polling often shows that women are at least as likely -- and often more likely -- than men to support abortion restrictions.…
I know what some of you are thinking: Oh great, another negative polling post from Benson, a known 'Never Trump' traitor. … My anti-Hillary bona fides are well established, and I've written up plenty of pro-Trump polling, too. … We ran through some of the troubling new state polling last evening, and the numbers haven't gotten any better today.…
I have no access to internal polling, but it would appear from peering through the electoral window that at least part of that is due … According to Larry Sabato's University of Virginia Center for Politics analysis the current outlook is this:
Democrats (seats not … On the Secret Decoder Ring page today: A link to the Larry Sabato page on the Senate races and to the RealClearPolitics polling page…
Three caveats: CNN's general election polling has been especially unfavorable to Republicans so far, Hillary Clinton has universal … And then there's the small matter of winning back Ohio and Virginia, too. … In any case, it'd be wise not to get too excited or alarmed by any 2016 polling at this stage. …
Sanders barely has a pulse with voters in Iowa, Virginia, and New Hampshire. … In the Granite State, where he supposedly can mount a significant challenge to Clinton, he’s polling at a meager 11 percent. … Granted, these polling samples are well under 600–the minimum for an accurate statewide poll–but given the Clinton juggernaut; it probably…
Manchin says he’s running for re-election, not governor of West Virginia. Sen. … And for the latest on polling, don’t forget to check out the Closing Numbers section at the top. …
With health care, immigration, tax reform, North Korea, and Hillary Clinton’s new book, you probably didn’t know that Virginia was … The race is about even in central Virginia, with Gillespie at 43 percent and Northam at 41 percent. … The ad will air in markets across Virginia and in Washington, D.C.…
Because while this bill is getting kicked in the teeth in media circles, the polling on single-payer is not stellar, especially when … Twenty million more people have health insurance, that’s important; in states like Kentucky and West Virginia, the number of uninsured … Still, I think a lot of more centrist Democrats and operatives are noting the polling on single-payer, which collapses once people…
Polling in the early months of the campaign was neck and neck. A Rasmussen Poll in June had Akin ahead 50 percent to 42 percent. … A transgender individual is trying to capture a seat in the Virginia state assembly.…
In Virginia, Ralph Northam is the Democrats’ nominee for governor. He has a black running mate named Justin Fairfax. … Except, in Northern Virginia, you would never know that. Justin Fairfax has been memory holed in Northern Virginia. … Those fliers have been used in Northern Virginia.…
For Virginia, coal could be the issue where Northam trips up. … “Coal is very important to the economy in southwest Virginia. I understand that,” he said. … The Post added that southwest Virginia is where Clinton got crushed and coal is a big reason for that.…
Most polling in Virginia, meanwhile, has shown Team Blue ahead by a modest but consistent margin. … Is the Virginia Republican get-out-the-vote effort worth a few extra percentage points? … No one in Virginia politics knows for certain.…
The Virginia press, who noted that Gillespie has done all the right things concerning issuing condemnation of the white supremacist … Maybe it’s because Northam has been very low energy in Northern Virginia, an area where he has to maximize turnout. … ROVA, Northern Virginia vs. the Rest of Virginia.” […] Turnout among immigrants is not the only concern for the Northam campaign.…
In August, white nationalists and neo-Nazis descended into Charlottesville, Virginia. … As the Virginia gubernatorial race enters its final days, the Democrats appear to be getting nervous. … The Richmond Times-Dispatch, which later endorsed Gillespie, slammed Virginia Democrats, calling the mailer “practically libel.”…
candidate Hillary Clinton tweeted an ugly racial attack yesterday against Ed Gillespie, the Republican nominee for governor in Virginia … With polling bouncing all over the place -- Gillespie has either surged into the lead, or is still on track for a decisive loss, depending … Not even a majority of black Virginia voters agree with the latter idea. …
I think it’s not off the mark to suggest that something spooked the Democrats in the internal polling. … The Roanoke Times’ board said: In the aftermath of Charlottesville, almost every Virginia politician of note — Republican Senate hopeful … Gillespie revives the pragmatic, open-minded Republican Party that for so long served Virginia well by emphasizing effective government…
And those states are much more Republican than Virginia. At the same time, let’s say Ralph Northam pulls this off. … So why isn’t the Virginia election a good national barometer? … Is there something in the internal polling that has the Northam camp spooked?…
, by comparing the 2012 presidential results with those of 1988 -- keeping in mind possible shifts since 2012 suggested by 2016 polling … And those internal migrants have made Virginia and Florida, and to a lesser extent the Carolinas and Georgia, more Democratic. … Virginia, solidly Republican in the 1980s, voted at the national average in the Obama elections and has tilted more Democratic this…
Looking specifically at Virginia, the numbers are even worse for the Trump camp. … Trump has another chance to stop the polling free fall at Wednesday's third and final presidential debate.…
Two staffers directly involved in the GOP's efforts in Virginia confirmed the decision. … The RNC did not respond to a request for comment about the Virginia campaign. … At the same time, not so sure that Virginia was winnable this cycle.…
Hillary's average lead in the national polling is just over five percentage points, a number held down by the conspicuous outlier … Justin told you about earlier, but boosted by the latest Fox News survey -- which Katie wrote about, and is in line with most other polling … Regardless, national polling only goes so far. What's happening in the states? …
It generally takes four or five days for events to reflect themselves in the polling numbers. … Last night, ABC News and others reported that the Trump campaign has decided Virginia is gone and is shifting all resources to places … In Virginia we vote for local and state offices in odd-numbered years and we don't have a U.S.…
By defining voter fraud so narrowly as to mean only impersonation at the polling place, liberals ignore other serious threats to the … Virginia, where longtime Clinton fixer Terry McAuliffe is now the governor, is another state that bars felons from voting until they … Now they are going door-to-door to help elect Hillary Clinton and other Democrats, especially in northern Virginia.…
