It'll be interesting to see how Mike Huckabee does in Virginia. This is, after all, the state where, in 2000, John McCain called Pat Robertson and Jerry Falwell
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Either way, John McCain will likely win the nomination, and go on to face the Democratic nominee. But can he win? I believe McCain can beat Hillary Clinton for two reasons: 1). Conservatives, no matter what they say today, will come out to defeat Hillary, and 2). McCain will pick up enough moderate/conservative Dems and Independents to win. Barack Obama, on the other hand, would be tougher to defeat. A McCain/Obama race would essentially come down to who can define what the election is about. If it's about experience, McCain would win; if it's about change, Obama wins.
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Another reason McCain can beat the Democrats is precisely what Mitt Romney said yesterday: We benefit by picking a nominee early -- while Dems are hurt by the continued in-fighting. A worst-case scenario for the Dems would be if the "super delegates" end up deciding the election -- and they "decide" it for Clinton. I can't help but think that would cause dramatic turmoil and dissention among Democrats, and ultimately, help elect McCain.
Stay tuned ...
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