I want to hear what I want to hear, but when I hear what I want to hear, I always get a little suspicious. Am I just hearing what I want to hear and ignoring what I don’t want to hear? Am I deluding myself? So, when I see the amazing poll numbers that Trump is posting right now, I take it with a mountain of sodium chloride. Yeah, those numbers are solid. Yeah, those numbers are consistent. Yeah, maybe I am hearing what I want to hear, but maybe that is because what I want to hear is true.
Those numbers are impressive. He’s ahead in most of the battlegrounds. North Carolina is barely even one anymore, and he has shown consistent and substantial leads in Nevada, Georgia, and Arizona for a while. Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are closer, but he’s right there with Biden and often (but not always ahead). That’s all awesome, but the one that really struck me is the polling in Virginia showing him in a tie with Crusty McDaddyshowers.
Virginia. Viginia?
We haven’t won Virginia since I don’t know when. Over the years, we finally gave up calling it purple and accepted its essential blueness. But then it elected Glenn Youngkin, as well as a hard-red lieutenant governor and attorney general. We thought that was a fluke, but now, who knows? If Virginia is really in play – and I am unwilling to fully accept that it is until this positive polling becomes a trend – then this election is over before the first vote is cast, which, under the commie rules in the cheating blue states, will probably be next week.
I did not see this coming. I freely admit that I thought that Donald Trump had a natural ceiling of about 47%, that over half of Americans would never vote for him under any circumstances because of his Trumpiness. Well, we are not experiencing just any set of circumstances. Thanks to the work of His Incontinence, this is shaping up to be a nearly perfect wave of Democrat failure.
I always expected Joe Biden to be terrible, but he has managed to exceed even my high expectations for incompetence, corruption, and general loathsomeness. Biden has failed at literally everything he has done in office. Most presidents have some wins to trot out, but what is there to brag about with this guy? Nothing. Absolutely nothing. The economy is a disaster. So is the border. So is our foreign policy. Crime is up. Perversion is up. DEI race-hustling is up. His minions are so desperate that they just flat-out lie even when the truth is obvious to anyone with a pulse – they insist that the economy is great, and then the voters have to spend $12 on a Big Mac.
He’s a catastrophe wrapped in a disaster. When the achievements of Jimmy Carter outshine you, you don’t just suck – you super-suck. When he calls for four more years – and the actuarial tables beg to differ – he’s not making a promise but a threat.
And damn, did he get old in the last few years. He hasn’t been fresh since back when he was stealing Neil Kinnock’s resume, but now he’s positively ancient. The guy is a crusty mess. He shuffles about, mumbling incoherently, threatening to fight people, doing that weird whisper thing. Everyone knows he’s ancient and senile, but his handlers go with their classic denials. Why, he’s as sharp as a tack, just in secret, like that Ronald Reagan SNL skit from the good old days come to life. It’s just an act to lull America’s opponents into letting their guard down! Of course, on debate night – assuming he does not pull out because “I will not share a debate stage with a convicted felon, only my Thanksgiving table!” – he’ll be swaddled in Depends and hopped up on goofballs.
Some of Trump’s support is really voters voting against Joe Biden personally and against his policies. But there are affirmative reasons to vote for Trump, like his record of economic and foreign policy success. People really do remember the Trump years – pre-COVID, at least – as prosperous and peaceful. This drives the left up the wall – they are constantly trying to “correct the record” by explaining to people that they were actually miserable and impoverished during the greatest economic boom since the Eighties.
He has also turbocharged the Trump base, assisted by the Democrats’ fascist attempts to throw him in jail for the crime of beating them. Trump voters are unbelievably motivated. They cannot wait to go out there and mail in their ballot – Trump has wisely gotten on board with early voting and ballot banking. In contrast, who is eager to see Biden reelected? Only commies, criminals, cartels that smuggle illegal aliens, and his fake doctor wife.
Trump’s campaign is much, much better run this time. It’s all loyalists – you do not see the infighting and leaks that characterized past campaign organizations. His people are pros, focused, and professional. They took having him tied-up in court for six prime weeks and turned what should have been a liability into an asset. Speaking of assets, the campaign has collected hundreds of millions of dollars in just a few weeks. Hell, if that Democrat judge puts Trump in jail, we might just be able to get him elected by acclamation.
And there is another important factor at play. The 2024 Trump is not Trumpy. Trump is not doing what he did before that drove away potential voters. The tweetstorms are gone – he’s off Twitter, and barely anyone sees what he’s saying on Truth Social. Thanks to the ham-handed campaign to frame him, Trump has managed to make himself look like a victim, an image reinforced by the fact that he actually is a victim of a disgusting and disgraceful campaign that has totally blown back on its sponsors.
Of course, election day is five months off. Lots can happen and may well happen on the Democrat side if Biden somehow falls out through political maneuverings or age– a not insignificant possibility. Trump could make some hideous mistake, though he has always overcome the gaffes in the past. And there is the ever-present challenge of black swan events – who knows what disaster Biden’s incompetence might bring upon us? I can think of one particularly terrifying possibility.
But right now, Trump seems to be on the way to pulling off the Full Grover Cleveland. He’s doing well – too well. Don’t take anything for granted. As the great Instapundit warns, don’t get cocky. Be suspicious, be skeptical, and instead of getting cocky, work twice as hard and run up the score.
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