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The Bleak Winter's Behind Us, but What's Ahead?

The opinions expressed by columnists are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of

WASHINGTON -- Thank God winter is almost over. It has been another cold one. I hope Al Gore wore his hat and brought along his galoshes whenever he made an appearance against global warming. Better yet, I hope he scheduled his jeremiads in warmer climes, say, Miami Beach or Antigua. As I reported a while back, scientists have not been able to measure any increase in global warming since the end of 1998. That, despite their lunkheaded computers forecasting the opposite. During the past two years, temperatures have actually dropped by more than 0.5 degrees Celsius. Button up!

I mention all this because 1) it is always amusing to kid Mr. Gore and 2) the price tag for Prophet Obama's climate plan has just jumped to $2 trillion. That is three times the White House's initial estimate for its cap and trade monstrosity. It is also a huge tax on corporations and consumers at a time when both are in recession. Only government thrives. Given the fact that it is increasingly unclear that there is such a thing as global warming and the fact that cap and trade is an expensive and dubious remedy for it, might not the Prophet Obama hold back? He has plenty else to do.

Cap and trade has been tried in Europe by the signers of the Kyoto Protocol, and, according to The Heritage Foundation's Ben Lieberman, "Nearly every European country participating has higher emissions today than when the treaty was first signed in 1997. … Emissions in many of these nations are actually rising faster than in the United States." Yet perhaps the Obama administration has its eye on something other than limiting emissions. Possibly it sees cap and trade as a great way to gain control of still more of the private sector.

As mentioned above, the huge amount of money mulcted from the private sector and handed over to the public sector has got to please every collectivist in the White House. Moreover, there is the huge bureaucracy that will have to be set up to oversee cap and trade. Those of us who have followed the economic crisis and the Ponzi scheme of Bernard Madoff are familiar with the Securities and Exchange Commission. If the administration's climate legislation is passed, we shall have the Cap and Trade Commission, or CAP. It will be vast.

To begin with, CAP's agents will have to go to every factory and office building, presumably even public buildings, and decide their allowable levels of emissions -- that is to say, their caps. Next, the agency will auction off and oversee the sales of the documents that certify emissions allowances. Call them coupons. Then the agency will have to monitor the exchanges of these allowances and who owns them. Finally, the agency will have to monitor compliance and presumably punish those who fail to comply.

In this setup, there will be countless opportunities for corruption, as polluters try to bribe CAP's agents or the agents try to elicit bribes. As with the SEC, there will be incompetence and lax enforcement. Finally, there will be members of Congress making special pleadings for corporations in their regions, labor unions -- special pleaders of all sorts.

Finally, there is the economics of the legislation. It will take $2 trillion from the private sector and dump it into the public sector. That is to say, a large tax on the private sector will transfer money to the public sector. So how is the private sector to grow itself out of this recession? The administration's answer is that the government will return the money to worthy endeavors, e.g., health care and green technology -- again, still more opportunities for corruption and for special favors to pleading solons and Numas on Capitol Hill.

The Prophet Obama was very disturbed recently when asked whether he is a socialist. Socialism is government control of the means of producing and distributing goods and services. What I have just described is a powerful instrumentality toward socialism. Along with cap and trade, the Obama administration is calling for a sufficient number of these instrumentalities to socialism; by the next election, the United States will be very close to being a socialist state. There is no point in Obama arguing against that observation. He ought simply to come out and say it. He is for socialism. What could possibly be wrong with that?

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