The final pre-election poll from CBS News bears good news for Republicans. We'll get to the data in a moment; first, let's revisit something we mentioned earlier in the week in reporting the WaPo/ABC News poll, which gave Republicans a sizable lead. Pollster' final generic ballot numbers have bounced all over the place. The NBC/WSJ poll showed the GOP ahead by a whopping 11 points. Then both CNN and Fox News gave Democrats a one-point edge, causing liberals to briefly cease whining about Fox News. WaPo/ABC News measured a six-point Republican lead, and now this from CBS News:
Republicans hit 50 and lead by eight percentage points when so-called 'leaners' are included. In addition to a 13-point enthusiasm advantage over Democrats, the GOP enjoys leads among registered voters on a host of key issues -- meaning that these gaps are larger with likely voters:
CBS News poll: GOP preferred by voters on immigration (+2), economy (+7), foreign policy (+10), terrorism (+20) http://t.co/wMg43qEi45
— Guy Benson (@guypbenson) October 30, 2014The eight-point Congressional ballot margin for Republicans is wider than CBS News' last pre-election survey in 2010, which seems newsworthy, yet CBS News doesn't seem very excited about reporting their own results. As you note this headline juxtaposition, remember that 2006 was a similar midterm environment to this year, just with the roles reversed:
Bias? What bias?
CBS in 2006: Poll: Dems Carry Big Pre-Election Lead
CBS in 2014: What Americans think of Congress and the President
— Josh Jordan (@NumbersMuncher) October 30, 2014Why, it's almost as if the straight-down-the-middle truth seekers at CBS News are feeling a bit mopey over Republicans polling well. Speaking of which a new Quinnipiac poll out of Colorado shows Cory Gardner in the lead by seven points, with incumbent Mark Udall stuck at 39 percent. The survey result
Dem edge in Iowa early vote: 1.7%. At this point in 2010: 6.5%. http://t.co/0TYbZ27vZ7 pic.twitter.com/V8UDEFbOl4
— Molly Ball (@mollyesque) October 30, 2014Turnout, turnout, turnout.
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