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Tipsheet

Could Jesse Jackson Jr. Get the "Shaft"?

Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr.'s Republican opponent in Illinois' 2nd Congressional District is touting a poll taken by a small urban newspaper in Chicago that shows the incumbent trailing in his re-election bid. 
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Rev. Isaac Hayes is one of the most impressive young conservative leaders I have encountered, and the mere thought that he might take down an entrenched liberal like Jackson is the stuff of leg-thrills. 

Watch below as Isaac electrifies a Cook County audience last year.  (I'm the guy standing behind him applauding many of his excellent points).  Note his delivery: Smooth, powerful, and TelePrompter-free.  It's well worth the full 9:30, but if you're pressed for time, scroll ahead to the 7:25 mark:



As much as I admire Hayes, I'm deeply skeptical about the poll itself, which pegs his support at 53 percent.  The newspaper (which doesn't have a website) offers no details about the survey's margin for error, and I can't confirm that it's even a scientific poll.  Nonetheless, it certainly comes as a shot in the arm for a candidate who has been working the district hard for more than a year and deserves to win.

"It would be nice to have confirmation of these results from a more reputable source, but we're absolutely encouraged by [the poll]," Hayes tells me.  "Our hard work is paying off and we're making an impact."
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Hayes points out that Jackson's standing in the 2nd District has been diminished by the bombshell revelation that he had direct knowledge of a $1 million offer to essentially purchase Barack Obama's vacated Senate seat from disgraced Governor Rod Blagojevich--an allegation he initially denied.  Jackson is also rumored to be weighing a Mayoral run, which could also give constituents a compelling reason to turn the page in the midterm election.  "Another major factor is that people in our district can't name a single thing he's done in 16 years, " Hayes said.

Today RNC Chairman Michael Steele kicks off a 117-city "Fire Pelosi" bus tour, which will make a stop in Hayes' district to highlight the race.  Hayes believes the national attention means "we are on the radar and waging a competitive campaign."

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