These are the dog days of political campaigns. With less than 50 days before the election, a large part of the electorate has already decided who they will likely vote for in the presidential contests.
Presidential polls consistently show no more than 10% of the electorate is undecided in the presidential election between Obama and Romney. Of the utmost importance for the next three to four weeks are persuasion and a final push to identify supporters. Then comes the all-important Get Out The Vote (GOTV) machines and turning people to the polls as early voting opens in states across the country.
Frankly, with the election as close at it is, and no debates having yet taken place, it is surprising that people are writing off Romney as a guaranteed loser. True, Romney faces an uphill battle, but that doesn’t change the fact he has positioned himself reasonably well to win this contest.
Many thought the Mother Jones video would be the death knell of the Romney campaign. Reporters were quick to point out that the 47% of Americans who don’t pay income tax come from large swaths of Republican states and voters.
The comments are even trickling down to key Senate contests as evidenced by the topic arising in the Kaine-Allen debate in Virginia, which might prove tricky in those contests as well. Furthermore, presidential polling is showing Romney trails Obama in key swing states including Florida and Ohio. Conservatives are showing some eagerness to distance themselves from the Romney campaign on the back of these comments and numbers. The stars appear to be lining against a Romney administration.
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