Rich Galen

The Gallup organization polls every day asking respondents a number of questions including how they think the President - in this case Barack Obama - is doing.

This is known as Presidential Job Performance.

Gallup does this on a three-day rolling basis.

The news over the weekend was that Gallup's three-day rolling poll on President Obama's job approval sunk below 40%. It was 39 percent approve, 52 disapprove.

Assuming those nine percent who didn't know or had no opinion would have had an opinion if it were positive, over 61 percent of adults in the U.S. do not approve of Barack Obama's job performance.

As I write this on Sunday afternoon, that result is from polling conducted Wednesday, Thursday and Friday (February 5-7) last week.

That was about the time that the public debate was raging over the Congressional Budget Office's analysis that 2.5 million people would stop working over the next decade because they would receive more benefits (especially from Obamacare) from not working, than from holding a low-paying (or a low-esteem) job.

The last time that Gallup had the President's job approval numbers above water was back in July 2013 when he was at 48-46. The highest his numbers have been in the recent past were right after his re-election in 2012 when, in December, he was sailing at 57-37.

The question you are asking is: Where was George W. during this period in his second term. The answer is, just about were President Obama is: W. had a 42 percent approval rating, but it was headed down to 37 percent by election day 2006.

In that election - President Bush's second mid-term - Democrats picked up six seats in the U.S. Senate and 31 seats in the House giving them majorities in both chambers. Nancy Pelosi was Speaker of the House until the election of 2010, but by then she controlled enough votes to get Obamacare adopted by a margin of seven votes - 219-212.

The second mid-term tide was running so heavily in the election of 2006 that, according to CBS' election analyst Professor David R. Jones, "No Republican captured a seat previously held by a Democrat."

Prof. Jones also pointed out that the exit polls showed Democrats won the support of independents 57-39. This is important, because according to the Huffington Post poll tracker, as of Friday its average of all polls that break out independent support, President Obama is lagging 60% -34% - even worse than the GOP did in 2006.

Rich Galen

Rich Galen has been a press secretary to Dan Quayle and Newt Gingrich. Rich Galen currently works as a journalist and writes at