Everyone who thinks they know all the aspects of the Iran deal raise hands …
Secretary Kerry, put your hand down.
I have no idea whether this is a good deal, a bad deal, or no deal at all. I hope it is a good deal and I hope it leads to a safer Middle East and, thus, a safer world.
But I don't know.
This deal was brokered by what is known as the P5+1. That is the permanent members of the U.N. Security Council (U.S., France, Russia, China, and France) plus Germany which, as we mentioned before, lost World War II about 68½ years ago and is not a P member of the SC. And, what I do know is that what we have been told and what has been published is likely but a portion - maybe a tiny portion - of what was actually agreed to.
I guarantee you that in addition to the public materials there are a ton of (with full credit to Monty Python) winks, nods, and nudges about what each side has really promised to do, promised not to do, promised to say and, maybe most importantly, what not to say.
The headline, as you know if you were up late enough on Saturday night to hear the President's speech, is under the terms the six-month deal: Iran has agreed to essentially freeze in place its nuclear enrichment program in return for $7 billion in sanctions relief including allowing Iran's oil to be sold on the world market.
So, what's wrong with that?
First of all the deal lasted about 27 minutes: In spite of Secretary of State Kerry's assurances that Iran would stop enriching uranium, the President of Iran, Hassan Rouhani said that Western powers have "have recognized Tehran's nuclear rights," and added:
"This right has been explicitly stipulated by this agreement, stressing that Iran will go on with enrichment. Enrichment will proceed similar to in the past."
Well … let's don't get bogged down in semantics. If Secretary of State John Kerry said Iran is not allowed to continue with its nuclear enrichment program in return for $7 billion, then that's good enough for me, no matter what the Iranians think they agreed to.
Actually, my first thought was Iran has been going broke under the pressure of the sanctions and has run out of money to continue its enrichment program. This deal allows them to put a hold on their nuclear programs, or at least slow it down, until the lifting of the sanctions and replenishes the Persian coffers and then Iran walks away - pockets a-jingling - after six months.
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