Kevin McCullough

Republicans will be wanting to 'recount Illinois,' I said to a seemingly annoyed former Kerry staffer and Obama supporter in the Fox News green room on Friday.

"How do you figure?" came the response.

I said, "It's pretty simple. If Obama doesn't change his message (amongst other things), this isn't even gonna be close."

I almost felt sorry for him, as he nodded his head in agreement, and walked away.

Personally--and for the record--let me say up front that I don't expect the election results of 2012 to wield a blow-out for the GOP. But presently the race, the state of the nation, and the complete incompetence of the Obama campaign are doing all they can to persuade me.

Obama supporters will argue, "Kevin you're in the middle of summer and no one pays attention at this point." Under normal conditions I would agree with you, but people are paying attention--they have been for 3.5 years--and to be honest they're exhausted.

So let me give you some very salient points as to why the landscape is providing the possibility for a Romney blowout:

1. Obama's operation is behaving like they will get total cover from the press, while Romney's is assuming they won't.

This is of huge importance. The truth is both assumptions are wrong. Romney will get some good coverage, and eventually some mainstream outlets will hold Obama accountable for his gaffes, missteps, and strike-outs (even several mainstream sources were forced to report on him commenting that "the private sector is fine"). Yet because Obama's team behaves like they can get away with anything, they've gotten careless--with timing, execution, and specifics. Axelrod and company are making the keystone cops look brilliant, and it really is beginning to show. Likewise--while Romney hasn't been completely error free--his team is paying attention to the slogan on the front of his podium. He's on message about jobs and the economy constantly, and he's moving poll numbers in Michigan, Wisconsin, Virginia, and even California.

2. Team Obama's mistakes are causing panic--hence poor campaigning.