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Saturday, August 02, 2008
Wayne Winegarden :: Townhall.com Columnist
Rising Oil Prices and Global Warming: Connecting the Facts
by Wayne Winegarden
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Gas prices may have retreated from their recent peak, but they are still outrageously high.  More worrisome, current gas affordability levels (perhaps un-affordability level is more apt) may be just the beginning.  Gas prices may soon set new record highs, and it will not be due to China, India, or even OPEC.  Instead, as Walt Kelly once famously paraphrased, "We have met the enemy and he is us". 

The greatest risk to affordable gas prices in the future is the global warming policies being discussed by policy makers.  To see the relationship between ever-higher gas prices and global warming policies all we need is a basic understanding of economics and then simply “connect the facts”.

Fact number 1: High gas prices hurt our economy.  To anyone paying attention to the economic headlines of late, this fact is quite obvious.  Our recent experience clearly shows that when gas prices soar, people experience hardships. 

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration the average price for all grades of gasoline in the U.S. in July was slightly over $4.11 per gallon – an all time inflation adjusted high.  Back in May 2008, gas prices were slightly lower: over $3.81 per gallon.

Not surprisingly the amount Americans drove in May 2008 (the latest data available) fell in response to the higher gasoline prices.  In May 2008 people drove 3.7% fewer miles compared to May 2007 when gasoline prices were a relatively affordable $3.18 a gallon.  In other words, when the price of gas increased, demand for gas decreased. 

The reduction in driving was not confined to May.  The total amount of miles driven by Americans peaked in October of 2007 and has been declining ever since.  Not surprisingly, the recent spike in gasoline prices to $3 - $4 a gallon began in October 2007.  But, the impacts from rising gas prices are not simply less gasoline usage.  Rising gasoline (and energy) prices have created negative economic impacts including:

·         Increased inflation – inflation is now rising at over 5.0% a year;

·         Reduced purchasing power of people’s wages – wages have increased only 3.1%, meaning that the cost of living is increasing at a faster rate than our ability to pay for these costs; and,

·         Increased overall unemployment – the economy has lost nearly a half million jobs since the beginning of 2008.

While the spike in gasoline prices does not explain all of our current economic troubles, they certainly have played a pivotal role.  The lesson is clear: rising gas prices harms the economy and diminishes our quality of life.  Continued...

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About The Author

Wayne H. Winegarden Ph.D. is a partner in the firm Arduin, Laffer & Moore Econometrics.

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OUR ENEMY
OBL wants to destoy us in any way, including economically since it may be the only chance. Pelosi and Reed are blocking every attempt to stave off escalating inflation and booming unemployment by blocking efforts to reduce energy costs. Forget about the "7-10 year window for domestic oil horsecrapp. They are the enemy from within.

Now BHO want to tap the strategic reserve. How long would that help...about a week? Solve the energy cost problem and there would be a correction in the inflation of practically everything else. If McCain was smart, he would try to go after the unemployment vote because that seems to be growing substantially, and democrats seem to be fine with it.

Who controls Congress?
The truth is the democrats do not have control of the Senate. In reality they don't even have a majority (Lieberman is an active supporter of McCain) much less the 60 votes needed to get a controversial bill to the floor for a vote. The Republicans "controlled" congress and the Presidency for 6 years. To blame the current energy crisis on the Democrats in Congress is just playing partisan politics. It is largely the policies of the Bush that should get the blame, if any party should. Bush policies were largely responsible for the collapse of the US dollar (a major reason for the rise in the price of oil). The Bush Administration orchestrated the incredible increase in the national debt, now up to nearly 10 trillion dollars. (Supply side economics didn't work under Reagan and they didn't work under Bush.) It appears Republican supporters only want to accept responsibility for the successes under Bush II (not many) and not the failures. Now President Bush is saying if we had just listened to him and opened up Anwar to drilling we would not be in the pickle we are now. Given President Bush's repeated failures as an executive for oil exploration companies (all went bankrupt), I don't think his judgment on this issue has much credibility.
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