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Saturday, June 21, 2008
Wayne Winegarden :: Townhall.com Columnist
"Cap and Trade" Fallacies
by Wayne Winegarden
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Thankfully, cap and trade – aka the Warner-Lieberman “America's Climate Security Act of 2007” – suffered a quick death in the Senate this year.  Cap and trade is an inferior, anti-growth, environmental policy that imposes significant costs on our economy and people’s lives.  Cap and trade allows Congress to pass a huge tax increase while never formally voting to do so.  The large tax increase will diminish our overall economic vitality and reduce everyone’s welfare.

Unfortunately, like a horror movie villain that keeps rising from the dead, the death of cap and trade is only temporary because cap and trade regulation offers a convenient solution for the political class.  Like most political solutions the promise of all benefits and no costs is too good to be true.  

While we are still in the shadow of “cap and trade’s death”, it is worthwhile to evaluate the 4 major fallacies proponents of cap and trade perpetuate in order to set the record straight.

Fallacy #1: Cap and Trade is a free market solution: If implemented, cap and trade would set an aggregate limit (a cap) to the amount of greenhouse gases (GHGs) industries could emit. If a holder of GHG emission rights emits GHGs below his allocation level, he could sell some of his rights to someone who is above his emission limit.  The trading of emission credits serves as the basis that the regulation is a free market solution. 


Cap and trade regulations are not a free market solution – it is just the opposite.  Cap and trade gives the government the right to determine the total amount of GHGs emitted by the U.S economy.  Over 86% of our current energy needs are provided by GHG emitting sources; and, our reliance on these sources (e.g. oil and coal) will continue for the foreseeable future. 

Giving the government the power to set total GHG emissions is giving the government the power to determine the economy’s use of energy.  Since energy use is central to our entire free market economy cap and trade takes a central aspect of our free market economy and brings it under direct control of the government. 

Fallacy #2: Cap and Trade provides incentives for alternative energy technologies: The incentives to create alternative energy technologies exist with or without cap and trade regulation.  These incentives vary from the economic (profit) to the non-economic (values).  Cap and trade does not change the incentives.  But, it can distort the process, and due to the law of unintended consequences, may even make the situation worse. 

Take the ethanol case study.  Whether it was for reasons of national security or global warming, the federal government decided to encourage ethanol production.  The result has been disastrous.  Ethanol’s benefit to the environment is now questionable, and the huge diversion of crops from “foods to fuels” is exacerbating a serious international food crisis.  Proponents did not consider such effects when deciding to promote ethanol.  Lack of foresight does not stop the law of unintended consequences, however.

Fallacy #3: Cap and Trade provides resources to invest in alternative energy technologies: In order to implement a cap and trade regulation, the rights to emit GHGs must be distributed.  These rights can be given away for free by the government, in which the beneficiaries receive a very valuable gift from the government.  Or, the rights can be sold to the GHG emitters, typically through auction.  If the government auctions the right to emit GHG emissions, the public sector will receive a huge windfall of revenues estimated in the trillions of dollars.  Plans to spend this money abound.  Investing in alternative energy technologies is one of the oft-cited uses for the new found spending power. Continued...

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About The Author

Wayne H. Winegarden Ph.D. is a partner in the firm Arduin, Laffer & Moore Econometrics.

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Separating environmentalism from us
I am wondering if there is an enterprising lawyer out there who is prepared to sue to overturn any cap and trade legislation that gets passed using legal precedents for the separation of church and state. This is not an economic issue. This is a religious one.

Environmentalism is a religion. A religion is a set of beliefs derived from faith. Faith is a method of knowledge other than reason.

Environmentalists hold the earth and its non-human contents as the supreme value, a position for which there is no rational argument, and they offer none. Their method of knowledge is faith: They reject all the foundational concepts of scientific reasoning. They reject Occam's razor, they reject the principle of refutability, they reject principles of logic such as onus of proof. They reject the scientific method - including defining the problem (to whom is rising temps a problem? Why? How? What is acceptable? Why?), making logical predictions (predictions vary by several degrees over decades), having successful predictions to substantiate their "hypothesis" (enough said), and even valid testing (copy-cat computer models; little to no physical experimentation).

They have, by any rational standard, an unsubstantiated, arbitrary belief. Using an unsubstantiated, arbitrary belief as a basis for action is an act of faith.

They are trying to impose this item of faith onto the rest of us in violation of the principle of the separation of church and state. I do not know what legal precedents forbid this, but they are out there. It is a question of the will to fight this crap. The fact that dropping temperatures have not stopped them in their quest to end industrialization shows that they are zealots immune to reason and will have to be stopped by legal force.
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