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Sunday, December 28, 2008
Steve Chapman :: Townhall.com Columnist
In 2008, a Democracy Recession
by Steve Chapman
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Was the Copenhagen Global Warming Summit Walk-Out a Win for the U.S.?


In Afghanistan, a student convicted of blasphemy had his death sentence overturned, only to get 20 years in prison for circulating an article about the treatment of women under Islam. Mike McConnell, U.S. director of national intelligence, said Afghan President Hamid Karzais government controls less than a third of its territory.

Thai protesters shut down the Bangkok airport for a week, leaving only when a court outlawed the ruling party and banned the current prime minister from politics. Shortly after, the opposition Democrat Party won parliamentary elections.

A German think tank reported that military coups are going out of style: The number of attempts now averages about five a year, down from double digits in the 1980s. Army officers in the West African nation of Guinea dared to be unfashionable, seizing the government upon the death of President Lansana Conte, who had come to power in 1984 via ... oh, you can guess.

In Zimbabwe, perennial strongman Robert Mugabe had to accept what he called the "humiliation" of agreeing to share power after losing at the polls amid famine and hyperinflation. But he refused to step down, proclaiming, "Zimbabwe is mine." Zimbabweans can only envy Ghana, democratic since 1992, which is preparing for the second consecutive peaceful transfer of power from one elected president to another.

The ailing Fidel Castro, 82, resigned as president of Cuba after nearly half a century, but his communist regime showed no inclination to follow him. His disciple, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, has indicated he would like to stay in office until 2050, when he will be 96. He lost a constitutional referendum last year that would have let him served beyond 2012, but he is not easily discouraged: Already he is pushing for another vote.

Chavez is one of many rulers of oil-producing nations who are watching their chief export plunge in value and hoping fervently for a strong rebound. He will gain no consolation from reflecting that human rights are also subject not only to busts but, if memory serves, to booms.

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Steve Chapman is a columnist and editorial writer for the Chicago Tribune.
 
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This is good
but you ought to read Michael Novak's Apology for Democratic Capitalism in the recent First Things.

Conservatives used to know this
Conservatives used to know that there was no necessary connections or directions in real-world politics. Economies don't always trend upward and the eixstence of a nominal "democracy" in a country tells us little about that regime's prospects for orderly changes of government. Yesterday's conservatives used to know this because they were historically literate. However, in the US conservatism long ago shed whatever attributes of skepticism and even pessimism it used to possess in favor of celebrating the successes of the present as if they were certain stand for all time. Both conservative and liberal American citizens just assumed the gravy train would never end and both liberal and conservative foreign policy-makers have assumed that once the 'good guys' are in power in some 3rd world country, they will always be so. Again, no good reasons exist for any of these views.

One of the things I've hoped for as a liberal Democrat is that at least once in my adult life I would see an American president who was deeply informed about the ways of the world, who did not let his idealism get the better of his common sense, and whose basic political instincts were tinged, at least, with a reasonable skepticism, about both his own capacities and those of his friends, as well as of his enemies.

I haven't seen that president yet. Both conservatives and liberals are goofy idealists, merely goofy about different sets of ideals. Sometimes I like to give little lessons in Political Realism 101 in my posts: I notice that almost no TH readers who reply to these posts get my points.
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