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Sunday, December 28, 2008
Steve Chapman :: Townhall.com Columnist
In 2008, a Democracy Recession
by Steve Chapman
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With unemployment at 10.2%, what will happen by the end of Obama's first term?



Once upon a time, Americans had the idea that stock markets traveled on an escalator that went only one direction: up. Once upon a time, Americans also assumed that the rise of democracy and freedom was the worlds unstoppable destiny. The best thing you could say for the state of human rights in 2008 is that they didnt sink as far as the world economy.

When Beijing was awarded this years Summer Olympics, some of us imagined that the quadrennial pageant would induce China to liberalize. You might as well hope that Michael Phelps would give up swimming to become a shot putter. Among the governments actions leading up to the games, charged Human Rights Watch, were "massive forced evictions, a surge in the arrest, detention and harassment of critics, repeated violations of media freedom and increased political repression."

China won the battle for gold, capturing 51 first-place medals. It earned a less cherished honor when human rights activist Hu Jia, sentenced in April to 3 1/2 years for "incitment to subvert state power," was awarded the Sakharov Prize for Freedom of Thought by the European Parliament.

The Soviet Union, which made Andrei Sakharov famous as a political dissident, is no more, but Vladimir Putin keeps it alive in spirit. As required by the constitution, he stepped down as president at the end of his second term, but without ceding a sliver of power. Putin not only installed a protege as president, but became prime minister, an office that suddenly exhibited a power and importance that had gone unnoticed.

The former Soviet republic of Georgia had a presidential election of its own -- "the first election where no one was 100 percent sure whether they were going to win or not," as one Georgian analyst marveled. The winner, Mikheil Saakashvili, should have had no such uncertainty about the outcome of the August war with Russia that he rashly helped to provoke.

Pakistans president, Gen. Pervez Musharraf, also had no cause for surprise when his party was trounced in elections held less than two months after the assassination of opposition leader Benazir Bhutto. Facing impeachment, the longtime military ruler resigned in August. Continued...

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About The Author
Steve Chapman is a columnist and editorial writer for the Chicago Tribune.
 
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This is good
but you ought to read Michael Novak's Apology for Democratic Capitalism in the recent First Things.

Conservatives used to know this
Conservatives used to know that there was no necessary connections or directions in real-world politics. Economies don't always trend upward and the eixstence of a nominal "democracy" in a country tells us little about that regime's prospects for orderly changes of government. Yesterday's conservatives used to know this because they were historically literate. However, in the US conservatism long ago shed whatever attributes of skepticism and even pessimism it used to possess in favor of celebrating the successes of the present as if they were certain stand for all time. Both conservative and liberal American citizens just assumed the gravy train would never end and both liberal and conservative foreign policy-makers have assumed that once the 'good guys' are in power in some 3rd world country, they will always be so. Again, no good reasons exist for any of these views.

One of the things I've hoped for as a liberal Democrat is that at least once in my adult life I would see an American president who was deeply informed about the ways of the world, who did not let his idealism get the better of his common sense, and whose basic political instincts were tinged, at least, with a reasonable skepticism, about both his own capacities and those of his friends, as well as of his enemies.

I haven't seen that president yet. Both conservatives and liberals are goofy idealists, merely goofy about different sets of ideals. Sometimes I like to give little lessons in Political Realism 101 in my posts: I notice that almost no TH readers who reply to these posts get my points.
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