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Friday, May 16, 2008
Larry Kudlow :: Townhall.com Columnist
Striking Out on Energy
by Larry Kudlow
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The regulatory aspects are mind-boggling. All manner of U.S. businesses -- be they small pig farms, large power plants, or the millions of companies in between -- will be subjected to government rulemaking and standard-setting. EPA inspectors will literally have to visit five million American businesses in order to evaluate carbon emissions and figure out allowances for trading permits.

Think of it. Some sort of federal cap-and-trade department will send out 100,000 inspectors to comb through American corporations and calculate their carbon stories. This is total insanity. The Congressional Budget Office guesses it will cost at least $1 trillion. And a lot of that cost comes from the government’s willingness to give companies carbon allowances which then can be traded in some sort of after-market.

Later on, according to the McCain plan, the government will auction off these allowances, reaping a gigantic windfall. But so far there are no strictures on this revenue honey pot and the unprecedented federal spending it will fuel.

Some global warmers simply want to tax carbon. That at least would reduce the Gosplan effect. Responsible people like Harvard’s Greg Mankiw have even suggested taking the carbon-tax revenue and using it to cut income-tax rates. This is a much better idea -- that is, if you buy into global warming at all.

My friend Art Laffer tells me Al Gore wants a carbon tax, with the revenues being used to abolish the Social Security/Medicare payroll tax altogether. Laffer would prefer a big income-tax-rate reduction that would get us to a 13 percent flat tax. I agree. Either way, taxing carbon, when compared to cap-and-trade, is the lesser of two evils.

To be fair, Sen. McCain does favor nuclear power. But he is opposed to Tillerson’s idea of drilling offshore and President Bush’s idea of drilling in Alaska. That’s not good. And make no mistake about it, his cap-and trade plan will vastly increase the cost of doing business everywhere, including gas prices at the pump. And when you cap something like power, well before so-called alternative-energy technologies have been invented or commercialized, you put a cap on economic growth and prosperity.

That’s not going to make anybody happy.

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About The Author

Lawrence Kudlow is host of CNBC's Kudlow & Company

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Typical American businessmen
Bulldog: It may be a little easier than you might think for big oil to fix their prices.

The companies I alluded to, as an example outside of the energy industry, were mainstream American firms, such as Manville, Schuller, Certainteed, and so on, which are also independently audited as the oil companies are. The people who manage and represent them were never regarded as mobsters but very much as all-American business types. Everyone in the industry who bought large amounts of their products knew they fixed prices in various ways, for years and years. For example, price increases would be announced by all the companies about the same time, and then there was often a "shortage" of the products so customers had to be assigned "allocations", and special rates were given to special (large)
customers, ensuring they operated at a competive advantage in the marketplace against smaller customers.

But business was business and no one really cared enough to do anything about it, nor did anyone hold these companies in low esteem. But one day someone saw red and went to court.

Columbus Drywall v Masco Corporation, et all,

and it covered product sales 1999 to 2004, though it could easily have covered much further back. Since this case was heard, the entire market for the defendents' products has changed such that all prices are about 25% lower.

Now that I've seen this, it doesn't seem so unlikely to me that big oil could play a similar game.



Scott: The CEO of Exxon is an important source of this commentary Kudlow just wrote, and, being a familiar company, makes for a good case study as well for a discussion group, meaning what we say about Exxon could likely be said of most energy companies.


10 Largest Crude Oil Producers - 2006
(annual million bbl)

1. Saudi Arabian Oil Co - 3,248
2. National Iranian Oil Co - 1,405
3. Petroleos Mexicanos - 1,332
4. Petroleos de Venezuela - 935
5. British Petroleum - 903
6. Abu Dhabi National Oil Co - 894
7. **Exxon-Mobile Corp - 832
8. Petro China Ltd - 830
9. Nigerian National Petr. Co. - 810
10. Kuwait Ptroleum Co - 803

So everyones' favorite boogie man, Exxon, is No 7 (only US oil company on the list).

Source NRCan Fuel Focus Oct 26. 2007

Also US Crude refining capacity:
1985 15,671 Million bbl / day
2007 17,447

Source US Energy Information Administration, DoE


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