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Sunday, October 12, 2008
Ken Connor :: Townhall.com Columnist
Carrots and Sticks: The Bailout and Unintended Consequences
by Ken Connor
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With unemployment at 10.2%, what will happen by the end of Obama's first term?



"If you subsidize something, you get more of it."
-Ronald Reagan

Everybody knows that incentives impact behavior. Parents provide allowances to get children to do their chores, businesses offer bonuses to motivate employees to reach their goals, and governments offer subsidies to encourage businesses to locate in their communities.

Positive incentives aimed at encouraging certain behaviors are called "carrots." Negative incentives aimed at deterring other behaviors are called "sticks." Everybody—from businesses to ballplayers—responds to incentives. Since they do, we need to be careful with their use and application, lest we produce grave unintended consequences.

What then are the implications of the recently-passed Emergency Economic Recovery Act of 2008 a.k.a. the economic bailout? Will it produce unintended consequences? With the clamor to save our economy through massive government intervention in the marketplace, what message are we sending the businesses and executives who got us into this mess? What behaviors are we incentivizing in the marketplace?

In order to make that determination, we should examine the behaviors that got us here in the first place. A few of those behaviors are catalogued in a recent article in the Austin American-Statesman:

  • Bear Stearns engaged in abusive and illegal loan collection practices.

  • Bank of America, UBS, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and Wachovia deceived investors by selling them risky auction-rate securities advertised as being perfectly safe.
     
  • GMAC Bank and other student loan companies engaged in deceptive advertising.

  • IndyMac Bank routinely issued "liar loans" until it went broke.
     
  • Countrywide engaged in deceitful lending.

  • JPMorgan, Citigroup and CIBC engaged in securities fraud.

  • The supposed independent rating companies—Standard & Poor's, Moody's, and Fitch Ratings—gave bond insurers triple-A ratings to fatten their wallets when D-minus was what they deserved.

  • HSBC and Citigroup specialized in structured investment vehicles to conceal their risky mortgage holdings.

  • Freddie Mac failed to fully disclose its portfolio losses.

  • AIG hid huge losses on its credit default swaps.

  • Lehman Brothers failed to come clean about its real estate losses.

  • Lehman Brothers, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, and Merrill Lynch competed with one another in developing abusive tax-evasion schemes.


It is a sorry tale, but it gets worse.

The CEO of Lehman Brothers, Richard Fuld, made $165 million between 2003 and 2007, even though his company had to file for bankruptcy on September 15 of this year. Merrill Lynch paid its CEO Stanley O'Neal $172 million from 2003 to 2007, and his successor, John Thain, got $86 million, notwithstanding that Merrill had to be sold last month for a share price that was about 70 percent below its January high. Bloomberg News reports, "Morgan Stanley's current and former chief executives, John Mack and Philip Purcell, were paid about $194 million over the past five years." The list of excesses goes on and on.

These men were entrusted with great power and responsibility, as well as with their investors' money. Nevertheless, they violated that trust through greed and deception. They enriched themselves at their investors' and the market's expense. Yet, when the market forces caused their companies to come crashing down, the government intervened to bail them out. What message does this send? Continued...

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About The Author
Ken Connor is Chairman of the Center for a Just Society in Washington, DC.
 
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Obamanation
For all his exotica and haberdashery, Obama is only a garden variety Socialist. Europe abounds in them - in charge at various places. The common denominator is rejection of responsibility for one's own life in favor of receipt of a modest living from a not-overworked collective. A quote from workers in a decaying Soviet Union went as follows: "they pretend to pay us and we pretend to work."

Obama hopes to gather handouts from the "rich" but those who are really such will have no trouble moving their assets beyond his reach. So he'll have to try to get the dough from the busy-busy middle-class. But eventually that well will dry up. He then will push a Fed Chairman to print more and more dollar bills with which he can preted to pay.

column could be worse, but not good.
I certainly prefer to see conservatives demogoging against rich CEO's rather than poor minorities, the more common approach. But it is not a great idea to demogogue even in this direction.

If the behavior of the CEO's was really as criminal as Connor describes then legal remedies would be the proper approach. But the CEO's listed will benefit regardless of the bailout.

And there is no particular reason why this law will have much effect on future behavior good or bad. In fact if anything it places limits and allows for other limits on CEO pay.

Connor sounds like Obama on the AIG issue, but that was not Obama's greatest moment. The people being pampered there were not the heads of the finance divisions, but rather the heads of the Insurance side which is successful. And the retreat was planned before the bankruptcy, so it is hardly a response to it.

One would like to see some shame in the level of compensation at the top. But it would be foolish to take down the economy in order to do this.
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