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Wednesday, June 18, 2008
Dick Morris and  Eileen McGann :: Townhall.com Columnist
Oil Prices: '08's Defining Issue
by Dick Morris and Eileen McGann
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You can buy oil futures for only 5 percent down on margin, a bargain considering the 50 percent margin requirement for stock market equity investments. Because the margin requirement on oil futures rises as the due date approaches, few investors actually end up buying the oil; they just roll over their investments.

So the willingness of sellers to unload their oil futures, and of buyers to acquire them, sets up its own market of supply and demand that has more to do with determining the actual price of oil than even the global demand and supply for the product itself.

On May 20 of this year, Masters told Congress: “Commodities futures prices are the benchmark for the prices of actual physical commodities, so when index speculators drive futures prices higher, the effects are felt immediately in spot prices and the real economy. So there is a direct link between commodities futures prices and the prices your constituents are paying for essential goods.”

Gheit and Norman suggest that the CFTC regulate the domestic oil futures market (NYMEX) and the participation of U.S. companies in the ICE, restoring the caps on the amount of oil futures speculators can buy. Gheit also urges raising margin requirements for them.

Both worry that the oil futures bubble is going to burst and cost a lot of investors — particularly pension funds who channel their investments through the swap desks of the brokerage houses. We don’t need another sub-prime or savings-and-loan crisis on our hands right now.

The Senate recently tried to force CFTC regulation of all commodities speculators, but the bill was loaded down with a windfall profits tax, so the Republicans killed it.

John McCain needs to get with this program. In his town hall meeting in New York City last Thursday night, he attacked speculators for driving up oil prices but didn’t propose remedies or really explain the problem.

Americans will pay close attention if he does. For McCain, this is the issue and now is the time to use it.

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About The Author
Dick Morris, a former political adviser to Sen. Trent Lott (R-Miss.) and President Bill Clinton, is the author of Condi vs. Hillary: The Next Great Presidential Race. To get all of Dick Morris’s and Eileen McGann’s columns for free by email, go to www.dickmorris.com
 
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to: Jim from Oregon
where is the oil from the alaska pipe line going now?
not to the u.s.
when the oil companies extract it, it goes on the global market and is not destined to the u.s.
oil drilled from off shore is not necessarily destined to the u.s.
the u.s. motorist doesn't own the oil.
we are being played the shell sucker gamer over and over by the petro crowd.

go nuclear power plants.
they only heat water to steam to drive electrical generators, just like OIL fired elect. plants.

adios,
Harvey
Lancaster, Taxifornia
dial 1 for english

another oil shill
what is not being said is that with the dollar tanking, the oil prices will go up.
what is not being said is that the u.s. imports 12% from overseas. much more of u.s. oil goes over seas. it's a global market kiddies.

where is the oil from alaska going?
asia, mostly japan some to china for a profit.

do you think more drilling will bring the prices down to a reasonable level? no

do you trust the petro cos. that gouge you now?
no.
then build nuclear power plants and replace oil with nukes.
the greenies are directly and indirectly given petro dollars to protest any other form of energy that competes with oil.
wind turbines?
kills birds.
thermal energy?
cause natural disaster.
nuclear energy plants?
china syndrome.

and who is speculating in dollars?
soros?
traitors?
foreigners?
put em in box cars.

adios,
Harvey
Lancaster, Mexifornia
dial 1 for english
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