Cortney wrote this up today. The Biden camp is sure sounding…not very confident all of a sudden. They say they can win this election without Florida and Pennsylvania. They must be smoking whatever Hunter Biden is using because that doesn’t appear to be the case. Trump is doing well in the core three—North Carolina, Arizona, and Florida—which just leaves one Rust Belt state in order for the president to secure a second term. And in Florida, things are looking pretty bad for Democrats.
There are no new Democratic voters or young people showing up at the polls thus far, and Republicans are showing up in force. In Pinellas County, which is key to offset the Democratic gains in neighboring Hillsborough, GOP voters are showing up by a three-to-one ratio.
FL Rs +99,022
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
Trump won in 2016 by just 113,000
This will get ugly.
FL has just now reached 100% of total 2016 turnout.
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
The new voters ain't Ds. They sure ain't students.
FL update: https://t.co/eOSAqovFfK
— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) November 3, 2020
FL: Rs up 35,000 now.
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
Palm Beach election day, Rs up 17.4 points.
Gadsden: Ds down by more than 4 points from 2016.
Broward Election Day Ds up only 2,200
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
No, not a typo
From "Freeper" bort on Sarasota
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
Rs: 7.1K (60%)
Ds: 1.7K (15%)
All votes (early + election day): 44%(R) vs. 34%(D)
So much for Biteme winning seniors
Rs ahead on election day votes in Palm Beach by almost 9,000; up in Pinellas on election day by 22 points.
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
Pinellas coming out of the gate hard, nearly 3:1 for Trump. Went for Zero in 2012.
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
Recommended
D lead in FL vanishing like Cankles' emails. Was 108,000.
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
Now? 24,000
Early FL: Rs up solid in Alachua
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
Republicans already outvoting Dems 2.5 to 1 in Pinellas today after being slightly outvoted by them in the early voting period. https://t.co/EfqxMvfoFm
— Patrick Ruffini (@PatrickRuffini) November 3, 2020
Florida is the barometer for the election. Trump won FL by 1.2% last time. If he is over that today that is a good sign. So far it looks positive.
— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) November 3, 2020
For people who don't know Florida, which is pretty much everyone in the pundit class who pretends that they do, the R advantage gets heavier as the day goes on.
— Peoples_Pundit (@Peoples_Pundit) November 3, 2020
Think this is heavy now, just wait.
Within hours this morning, the Democrats’ early voter advantage was wiped out. As Larry Schweikart noted, “this will get ugly.”
Hold onto those four words, folks. Florida has also been a pretty good gauge on how Pennsylvania and Michigan have gone since 1968.
Biden campaign manager Jen O'Malley Dillon: "We continue to have multiple pathways to 270 electoral votes" says they can win 270 even without PA and FL
— Charlotte Alter (@CharlotteAlter) November 3, 2020
In Biden campaign briefing, advisor Bob Bauer notes that so far polls are up and running without major delays, and that very few ballots have been rejected (FL: 0.3%, WI: 0.1%, NC: 0/6%)
— Charlotte Alter (@CharlotteAlter) November 3, 2020
Says R predictions of mass election day chaos and fraud have not occurred
Bauer on election lawsuits:
— Charlotte Alter (@CharlotteAlter) November 3, 2020
"the courts recognize these last-minute hijinx for what it is... they're designed to generate the appearance of a cloud over the election, they are not in fact bonafide legal claims against voters."
Jen O'Malley Dillon: "We come into election day in our battleground states ahead by eight points. Obviously each state is different... Florida is a coin toss without a doubt."
— Charlotte Alter (@CharlotteAlter) November 3, 2020
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