A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll shows John McCain is in pretty good shape, all things considered.
As the poll implies, it is a pretty good bet that, had another Republican been nominated, they would now be facing a steeper hill than the one McCain currently faces. Of course, McCain is helped by the continued Democratic in-fighting. Still, considering the political environment, he is doing very well ...
Here are some important things of note (via the McCain campaign):
- Despite a tarnished Republican brand, John McCain enjoys a remarkably strong image ratio of 47 Fav/27 Unfav.
- A couple findings in the new poll capture how conflicted Americans are. By a 13-point margin, 50% to 37%, registered voters say they would prefer a Democrat to be elected president. When asked to choose specifically between Arizona Sen. McCain and either Democrat, the results in each case are a statistical tie.
- "Americans can visualize John McCain behind the desk in the Oval Office," said Mr. [Democratic pollster Peter] Hart.
- The issues environment remains very treacherous for Republicans as a whole.
Update: The deeper I dig into this poll, the more troubling it is for the Dems ...
- Bill Clinton's favorability rating is now negative 3. His popularity has tanked among African-American voters.
- The black/white divide is huge. Obama is getting 90% of the black vote. Black voters don't seem to be interested in supporting Hillary..
- ALSO more importantly... Hillary supporters will not be satisfied if obama is the nominee.
- Also, look for the data on whether dem voters think a "hillary super-delegate" win would make her a legitimate nominee. Only 38% said no. 29% said yes. 28% have no opinion either way.
- And Hillary wins the "if your primary were held today" question 47-43.