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Tipsheet

2008: Euro-Style Election?

A lot of people have talked about what would happen if Bloomberg entered the race, but I think the most significant thing about Bloomberg is the possibility of his creating a European-style election.  Here's what I mean:

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Suppose Hillary and McCain or Rudy end up winning the nominations.  Then Bloomberg gets in.  At this point, we will have a scenario in which many conservatives may find themselves unhappy with their options.  What is more, the fact that Bloomberg will have "broken the ice" by getting in as a 3rd Party candidate, may mean that a 4th candidate gets more traction than he normally would. 

So let's suppose a Pat Buchanan or a Ron Paul enters the race.  Now, all of a sudden, the race looks like this:

- R - Rudy or McCain

- D - Hillary

- I - Bloomberg

- I - Ron Paul

... All of a sudden, the old rules are gone.  Now, we've got essentially a European-style election where someone sneaks in with 30 percent of the vote, or something.  And because Bloomberg can self-fund -- and because the Ron Paul/Pat Buchanan candidate might have more of a base than normal, it becomes a legitimate 5-way race. 

(I know there has always been Libertarian or Constitution Party candidates.  What I'm talking about is a scenario where these candidates actually have the money to get their message out...)

A lot of people have speculated about a 3rd Party -- but how about the real proposition having 4 or 5 candidates ...

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