There's Another Embarrassing Update on Biden's Aid for Terrorists Pier
MD Sheriff Has a Message for Biden After Arresting an Illegal Who Murdered...
Latest Palestinian Poll Should Kill Further Discussions About Ceasefires
Bill Maher Pinpoints the One Issue That's Going to Get Dems 'F**ked on...
MSNBC's Morning Joe Segment About Biden's Strong G7 Summit Gets Demolished by European...
The Biden Admin Is Still Withholding a Mandated Report on Iranian Sanctions
State Department's Top Hostage Negotiator Reacts to Indictment of WSJ Journalist
CNN Bullies Ticketmaster Into Canceling Tucker Carlson Tour
Senate Republicans Block Bill Protecting IVF
Nearly Half of Americans Have Little Faith Biden Will Make It Through First...
Democrat's Law Directly Linked to Increase In Fentanyl Deaths
How This Republican Is Protecting the Integrity of the 2024 Election
CNN Releases New Rules for Trump, Biden Debate
Biden Importing Venezuelan Gangs Into U.S.
Will Trump Be the First Republican to Win This Vote Since 1988?
Tipsheet

Turnin' 'Em Out

Some turnout facts from the RNC:

NATIONAL

  • Of the precincts that the RNC is monitoring turnout, we have a ½% turnout advantage over the 2004 turnout (GOP precincts are turning out at 32.9% of 2004 vote while DEM precincts are turning out at 32.5% of 2004 vote)
  • Many states like Colorado, Nevada, Arizona have 25% of votes cast before election day.
Advertisement

Awww, did y'all get out that vote for me?

ARIZONA

  • There were 60K more ballots submitted by Republicans before Election Day – and 41% of the state has already voted.
  • In 2004 Exit Polling was off by 3.5% (they had it at 7%, actual results was 10.5%)

Why do Republican operatives keep mentioning Arizona? Was anyone really worried about Arizona?

CONNECTICUT

  • In the precincts that the RNC is tracking turnout, GOP precincts are turning out at 8% higher rate (42% to 34%) from the 2004 vote.

And, all the Republicans are voting Liebs!

FLORIDA

  • Republicans have a 140K advantage though absentee and early voting before Election Day – and 36% of the state has already voted.
  • Exit polling got it wrong in 2000 and wrong in 2004 (4% off in 2004)

An exit polling caveat. Does that mean things aren't going well?

MARYLAND:

  • Republican absentees had pulled within even of Democrats before Election Day – in a state with a 2:1 dem registration advantage.
  • Of the precincts we are tracking, Republican precincts are turning out 3% higher than Dem precincts off 2004 turnout (51-43).

Oooh, that sounds good, but then there's this.

MISSOURI

  • Of the precincts we are tracking, Republican precincts are turning out 2.6% higher than Dem precincts (42.3% to 39.7%) based off of the 2004 vote.
  • 2004 exit polls had a 3% dem bias.
Advertisement

Nice.

OHIO:

  • In 2004, exit polling was off by almost 9% (they had Kerry winning by almost 7%, we won by 2%)

I'm not sure any of that's gonna matter in Ohio, period.

TENNESSEE

  • (not much to say here…turnout looks against us, no exit polling from ’04 and absentee data is from MT data)
  • In precinct turnout tracking, dem precincts are turning out 1% higher off 2004 vote.
  • We estimate a 1% advantage on the absentee voting.

Hmmm. I think Corker's probably safe.

VIRGINIA:

  • In 2004, exit polling had the presidential within 1%, yet President Bush won by over 8%.
  • Of the precincts we are tracking, GOP precincts are turning out at 48% of 2004’s turnout while Dem precincts are only at 41%.

Wow, a 7 percent advantage in turnout? That sounds good. I can't tell you much about it, since I'm in Northern Virginia, which is crazy blue. But lines in my neighborhood weren't long, so take that for what it's worth.

Join the conversation as a VIP Member

Recommended

Trending on Townhall Videos

Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement