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Tipsheet

New Poll Shows Wisconsin’s Gubernatorial Race Is a ‘Toss-Up’

Democratic National Convention via AP

A new poll from Marquette University Law School shows that Wisconsin’s two major political races are a toss-up ahead of the midterm elections Nov. 8.

In the latest poll, Democratic incumbent Tony Evers and his Republican challenger, Tim Michels, were tied 48 percent to 48 percent among likely voters. Previously, Evers held a 1-point lead over Michels.

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Among registered voters, Evers received 47 percent support. Michels received 46 percent. 

In the Senate race, Republican incumbent Ron Johnson holds a lead among likely voters over his opponent, Democrat Mandela Barnes. Johnson was at 50 percent support among likely voters, while Barnes was at 48 percent support. 

Among registered voters in the poll, 48 percent support Johnson and 45 percent support Barnes. 

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"The right characterization is this is clearly a toss-up race at this point," poll director Charles Franklin told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. He added that Johnson has a 7-point lead among Independent voters.

Franklin said the governor’s race looks “eerily similar” to 2018. The Sentinel added in its report that the Democrats have not broken the 50 percent mark in the Marquette Law polls.

“So, a pure toss-up. I don’t know what else to call it,” Franklin said. 

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